@lugosix

#3,063,70384

0x071ecbac77a7d777a90fedacf52b07781f9aa103

~145d· 80 markets · 3940 tradesVol: $2,377,4532026-08-04 17:18:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

84
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

75% (59/79)20/20
1.84x (win $54,070 / loss $29,392)13/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.62015/15
Sortino 4.86910/10
$+0.0216 per $1 invested1.1/10
HHI 324 (79 markets)10/10
44/56 profitable days (79%)10/10
Max DD 44% of peak ($10,825 / $24,677)5.2/10

Badges

8
Sniper
Win rate 75%
DCA Master
Avg 49.4 entries/market
Whale
$1,140,474 invested
Consistent
44/56 profitable days
High Roller
$4,193/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

5
₿ CRYPTO#1,675,754$-29,200Vol: $1,757,705
🏛️ POLITICS#4,479$8,114Vol: $260,687
💰 FINANCE#1,458$3,562Vol: $182,604
🎭 CULTURE#2,594$2,578Vol: $165,829
💻 TECH#2,543$409Vol: $9,495

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-14,679
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,377,453
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
80
total markets
Trades
3114B / 826S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~145d

Periods

#2
Week
$5
Vol: $0
Month
$44
Vol: $0
All Time
$-14,679
Vol: $2,377,453

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
75%
59W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-14,679
Win Rate
75%
59W / 20L
Profit Factor
1.84x
Avg Win
$916
Avg Loss
$-1,547

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $17,055 (1.161875429188058% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $150k first?$5,897
Will Bitcoin reach $82,500 in April?$5,738
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?$5,420
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$3,988
Will Bitcoin hit $70k or $90k first?$3,474
Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 June 1-7?$2,796
Will the Government shutdown end by November 15?$1,548
Will Bitcoin reach $66,000 June 8-14?$1,535
Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 11-17?$1,453
Will Donald Trump be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$1,355

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$-10,825
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-9,965
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?$-3,792
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?$-1,812
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $108,000 and $110,000 on October 31?$-711
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 10?$-590
Will Sam Altman be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?$-400
Trump announces new drug boat strike by November 30?$-341
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?$-263

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.188
Sortino
0.131
HHI
279
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.022
Kelly %
17.8%
Half-Kelly
8.9%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
24.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.5
Active
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
38s
between trades
Avg Gap
35.2m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.71
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.2

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 38s — normal for humanCV 3.71 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock14 trades/day — very active0.3 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
49.44
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.8%
High (>55c)91.3%

Sessions

#12
10/28/2025, 4:05:07 PM2 trades$64,1813 min
5/15/2026, 2:37:41 AM45 trades$31,47817 min
11/7/2025, 11:27:01 PM2 trades$31,2640 min
5/17/2026, 10:11:05 PM1 trades$29,6120 min
5/15/2026, 1:46:21 PM14 trades$28,6591 min
10/30/2025, 11:20:53 AM144 trades$24,6138 min
10/29/2025, 11:09:11 AM3 trades$23,5893 min
11/7/2025, 12:07:39 PM3 trades$23,4432 min
10/30/2025, 11:42:13 AM30 trades$21,64011 min
10/21/2025, 5:04:55 AM3 trades$20,4411 min
4/28/2026, 2:17:02 PM10 trades$20,32410 min
10/29/2025, 1:14:51 PM31 trades$18,04937 min
4/17/2026, 2:35:22 PM37 trades$16,2114 min
11/11/2025, 7:00:56 AM3 trades$15,5740 min
12/8/2025, 11:13:27 PM4 trades$15,2310 min
6/14/2026, 9:18:58 PM2 trades$15,2120 min
11/5/2025, 1:37:59 PM2 trades$14,8592 min
11/15/2025, 2:48:40 PM1 trades$12,5500 min
11/15/2025, 7:42:54 PM1 trades$12,3780 min
4/17/2026, 1:42:30 PM6 trades$12,3210 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
11-14
12-10
01-12
04-24
05-30
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 49.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.8 / M5.8 / H91.3