@luliuliu

#97,20923

0x70e56d08c7c0ffd4410f50e42d2749743c13649c

~66d· 77 markets · 391 tradesVol: $53,4212026-08-04 22:48:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (36/74)9.3/20
0.85x (win $3,492 / loss $4,111)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.7030/15
Sortino -1.2550/10
$-0.0275 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 981 (74 markets)7.6/10
23/46 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 3251% of peak ($2,722 / $84)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+717
DCA Master
Avg 5.3 entries/market
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
86% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#19,615$869Vol: $31,749
SPORTS#1,613,211$-58Vol: $12,431
💰 FINANCE#7,650$434Vol: $4,856
🌤️ WEATHER#287,184$-122Vol: $3,812
📢 MENTIONS#172,564$-407Vol: $573

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$717
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$53,421
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
77
total markets
Trades
320B / 71S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~66d

Periods

#2
Today
$-13
Vol: $0
Week
$-13
Vol: $0
Month
$15
Vol: $0
All Time
$717
Vol: $53,421

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
36W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$717
Win Rate
49%
36W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$97
Avg Loss
$-114

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,444 (3.4108396243528745% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$2,019
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?$292
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?$133
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Sweden?$90
Will Robert Abela be the next Prime Minister of Malta following the 2026 Maltese general election?$88
Will France reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$79
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?$75
Will Spain win Group H in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$69
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$61
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$55

Top Losers

Will Trump visit China by June 30?$-912
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-498
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-456
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?$-388
Will China announce a U.S. soybean purchase by May 22?$-306
Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-194
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?$-186
Will England win on 2026-06-23?$-166
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?$-163
Will The Greens win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?$-136

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.036
Sortino
-0.055
HHI
1039
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.026
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.4%
Top-5 markets
59.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.9h
between trades
Night Trading
28%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.5

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1924s — normal for humanCV 3.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)28% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.5 markets/day — normal86% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.27
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.1%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)69.7%

Sessions

#12
5/15/2026, 10:47:50 PM2 trades$4,3510 min
3/20/2026, 8:36:45 AM2 trades$2,4000 min
4/22/2026, 2:50:24 AM1 trades$2,0090 min
3/26/2026, 10:17:49 AM1 trades$1,4090 min
3/31/2026, 2:30:55 AM1 trades$1,2320 min
5/25/2026, 5:30:19 AM6 trades$1,1600 min
3/9/2026, 2:43:49 PM1 trades$9590 min
3/25/2026, 5:05:59 AM2 trades$8971 min
5/19/2026, 2:28:38 PM1 trades$7570 min
6/12/2026, 6:06:55 PM1 trades$6560 min
3/3/2026, 2:19:55 PM1 trades$6380 min
2/18/2026, 10:36:04 AM1 trades$6290 min
4/21/2026, 12:13:54 PM1 trades$5870 min
4/2/2026, 2:35:09 PM11 trades$5171 min
7/30/2026, 1:48:32 PM2 trades$5000 min
4/8/2026, 6:32:11 PM1 trades$4180 min
4/8/2026, 7:43:39 PM1 trades$4160 min
6/29/2026, 3:09:23 AM2 trades$4000 min
5/6/2026, 11:10:37 PM4 trades$3843 min
5/12/2026, 12:23:42 AM4 trades$3602 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-25
03-14
04-30
05-20
06-16
06-29
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 143 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
18.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.27/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.1 / M17.2 / H69.7