@lunarmeridian393935

#1,988,83023

0x15a0184dcb6fee3bd69ed67781b47aaf86d776f6

~19d· 49 markets · 323 tradesVol: $30,6172026-08-06 07:06:10
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

67% (8/12)18.3/20
0.38x (win $185 / loss $492)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.2720/15
Sortino -5.1530/10
$-0.0103 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 2982 (12 markets)0/10
4/8 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($402 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 67%
DCA Master
Avg 12.1 entries/market

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,190,939$-6Vol: $12,470
⚽ SPORTS#1,107,256$-3Vol: $5,231
📈 ECONOMICS#532,168$-2Vol: $4,711
🎭 CULTURE#584,849$-2Vol: $4,124
💰 FINANCE#471,760$-1Vol: $2,066
🌤️ WEATHER#198,738$-1Vol: $1,871
₿ CRYPTO#732,968$-0Vol: $143

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-16
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$30,617
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
49
total markets
Trades
157B / 166S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $326
Month
$-0
Vol: $326
All Time
$-16
Vol: $30,617

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
67%
8W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-16
Win Rate
67%
8W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-164

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $147 (9.378739656269891% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$56
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$55
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$36
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30?$29
Will Broadcom be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$5
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?$2
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day?$1
Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country?$0

Top Losers

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?$-492
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-0
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.258
Sortino
-0.165
HHI
1315
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
29.7%
Top-5 markets
68.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
38.1m
between trades
Night Trading
33%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.78
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.1

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 500s — normal for humanCV 1.78 — diverse sizes (human-like)33% night trades — never sleeps18/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal46% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.08
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)100%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 11:00:03 AM2 trades$2,1590 min
6/9/2026, 5:57:25 AM2 trades$2,1370 min
5/13/2026, 2:49:15 AM3 trades$1,7970 min
5/13/2026, 3:15:11 AM7 trades$1,1130 min
6/9/2026, 7:28:28 AM2 trades$1,0930 min
6/7/2026, 6:27:18 PM2 trades$1,0830 min
6/9/2026, 7:05:42 AM2 trades$1,0810 min
6/8/2026, 12:11:43 PM2 trades$1,0790 min
6/7/2026, 8:10:57 PM2 trades$1,0710 min
6/8/2026, 11:47:01 AM2 trades$1,0520 min
6/7/2026, 7:49:06 PM2 trades$1,0330 min
5/15/2026, 12:01:09 AM2 trades$9720 min
5/14/2026, 11:47:51 PM2 trades$9390 min
5/13/2026, 3:56:29 AM2 trades$9260 min
5/14/2026, 11:01:00 PM2 trades$9250 min
5/13/2026, 11:13:19 PM2 trades$9140 min
5/13/2026, 2:03:30 AM2 trades$8970 min
5/14/2026, 12:49:54 AM2 trades$8800 min
5/13/2026, 3:35:13 AM2 trades$8720 min
5/14/2026, 12:36:44 AM2 trades$8640 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-28
05-13
05-20
06-08
06-09
06-11
06-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.08/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M0 / H100