@lupin78

#3,009,82736

0x23cb220de129746606454a7b27e4ba1e4b6b0357

~29d· 293 markets · 2243 tradesVol: $153,4072026-08-05 00:40:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (160/288)12.8/20
1.01x (win $14,750 / loss $14,547)2.7/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4278/15
Sortino 0.6336.3/10
$+0.0056 per $1 invested0.3/10
HHI 3757 (288 markets)0/10
14/27 profitable days (52%)5.5/10
Max DD 117% of peak ($1,230 / $1,055)0/10

Badges

2
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Win Streak
7 wins in a row

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,601,850$-589Vol: $99,546
₿ CRYPTO#1,598,878$-598Vol: $18,448
💰 FINANCE#650,727$-538Vol: $17,199
🎭 CULTURE#782,307$-103Vol: $8,432
📈 ECONOMICS#575,895$-6Vol: $3,727
💻 TECH#253,793$-236Vol: $2,932
🌤️ WEATHER#279,314$-63Vol: $1,121
📢 MENTIONS#154,277$-42Vol: $378
⚽ SPORTS#1,663,298$-90Vol: $274

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2,382
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$153,407
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
293
total markets
Trades
528B / 1715S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2,382
Vol: $153,407

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
160W / 128L events
Realized PnL
$-2,382
Win Rate
56%
160W / 128L
Profit Factor
1.01x
Avg Win
$92
Avg Loss
$-137

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,267 (0.9517219952725426% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spencer Pratt concede by July 2?$1,108
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?$669
Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 49.0 and 51.9 in June?$490
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell?$477
Will Lee Won-taek win the 2026 Jeonbuk Province Gubernatorial Election?$464
Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?$455
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in June?$448
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of June 1 above $420?$408
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$377
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from June 15 - 21?$371

Top Losers

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?$-703
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?$-438
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?$-436
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30?$-425
Will voter turnout be 60-64% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-423
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-384
Will voter turnout be 56-60% in the second round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-366
Will "Scary Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 52m?$-358
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?$-353
Will Adriano Espaillat be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-347

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.022
Sortino
0.031
HHI
67
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.005
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.7%
Top-5 markets
7.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
47.7
Active
Markets / Day
6.2
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
25s
between trades
Avg Gap
38.6m
between trades
Night Trading
2%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
5 min
Avg Trades / Session
38.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 25s — normal for humanCV 0.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)2% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity48 trades/day — high frequency6.2 markets/day — normal24% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
7.82
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5.3%
Mid (20-55c)17.4%
High (>55c)77.3%

Sessions

#12
6/8/2026, 10:22:31 PM32 trades$55,5490 min
6/18/2026, 5:42:13 PM453 trades$15,0454 min
6/8/2026, 9:27:21 PM352 trades$11,06724 min
6/16/2026, 7:31:34 PM47 trades$3,7443 min
6/3/2026, 9:15:33 PM67 trades$3,4597 min
6/12/2026, 9:58:09 PM90 trades$2,5945 min
6/3/2026, 8:59:40 PM45 trades$1,8010 min
5/31/2026, 8:13:07 AM37 trades$1,4471 min
5/20/2026, 7:23:57 AM48 trades$1,44414 min
6/14/2026, 8:04:52 PM21 trades$1,3754 min
5/20/2026, 8:04:24 AM48 trades$1,31619 min
6/11/2026, 7:43:55 AM25 trades$1,0983 min
6/8/2026, 11:43:10 AM13 trades$1,0380 min
5/27/2026, 1:05:55 PM36 trades$9885 min
6/17/2026, 10:14:35 AM10 trades$9294 min
6/9/2026, 7:08:01 AM36 trades$8774 min
5/23/2026, 8:24:57 AM15 trades$8170 min
5/25/2026, 8:24:46 PM28 trades$8062 min
5/18/2026, 8:59:28 AM20 trades$79911 min
5/29/2026, 2:19:23 PM39 trades$7690 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-16
05-21
05-25
05-31
06-07
06-12
06-18

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
76.5% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.82/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.3 / M17.4 / H77.3