@lupodw

#598,09666

0x9f46f618d5eb2101a3b9f3376a18025b58dca61a

~45d· 59 markets · 247 tradesVol: $6,0712026-08-04 22:49:55
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

66
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (26/41)16.7/20
1.20x (win $601 / loss $502)5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.39215/15
Sortino 1.93610/10
$+0.0397 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 500 (41 markets)10/10
16/27 profitable days (59%)7.3/10
Max DD 72% of peak ($224 / $311)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Profitable
PnL $+5
DCA Master
Avg 5.9 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#275,521$2Vol: $4,407
🎭 CULTURE#698,395$-12Vol: $797
CRYPTO#1,017,195$-4Vol: $602
📈 ECONOMICS#29,697$19Vol: $146
💰 FINANCE#54,142$11Vol: $71
SPORTS#1,343,716$-10Vol: $44

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$4
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$6,071
Total Redeem
$2
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
59
total markets
Trades
101B / 146S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d

Periods

#2
Today
$-12
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-37
Vol: $0
All Time
$4
Vol: $6,071

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
25W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$5
Win Rate
63%
25W / 15L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$23
Avg Loss
$-36

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $346 (76.3907284768212% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?$208
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$82
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$56
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?$40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$33
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$30
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$30
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$17
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?$16
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$11

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-92
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-80
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-72
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?$-40
Will Donald Trump announce Lee Zeldin as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$-40
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14$-40
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$-31
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?$-26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by May 31st?$-20
Will "The Odyssey" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.071
Sortino
0.071
HHI
496
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.039
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.6%
Top-5 markets
39.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.5h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.87
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 322s — normal for humanCV 0.87 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal32% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 6:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.88
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.9%
Mid (20-55c)18.8%
High (>55c)72.3%

Sessions

#12
6/7/2026, 11:30:10 AM9 trades$6665 min
7/18/2026, 6:53:19 AM4 trades$6260 min
4/3/2026, 8:44:09 AM8 trades$3565 min
6/4/2026, 2:56:42 AM16 trades$2696 min
5/12/2026, 4:26:39 AM13 trades$2113 min
4/3/2026, 11:00:55 AM14 trades$1995 min
6/16/2026, 7:58:15 AM11 trades$1851 min
7/8/2026, 5:07:20 AM7 trades$1811 min
4/8/2026, 9:29:33 AM4 trades$1601 min
5/27/2026, 6:45:33 AM6 trades$1492 min
2/7/2026, 7:28:33 PM1 trades$1460 min
4/8/2026, 9:14:03 AM7 trades$1300 min
5/3/2026, 7:40:36 PM6 trades$1305 min
4/8/2026, 4:32:03 AM8 trades$1276 min
4/2/2026, 5:59:43 AM10 trades$1191 min
4/16/2026, 10:34:20 AM8 trades$1081 min
3/30/2026, 5:35:13 PM1 trades$1040 min
1/30/2026, 10:26:04 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/28/2026, 4:26:57 PM1 trades$1000 min
4/16/2026, 8:31:18 PM5 trades$912 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-30
03-25
04-02
04-12
04-24
05-27
06-13

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
59.1% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.88/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L8.9 / M18.8 / H72.3