@luukdao

#39,16380

0x874aeebb8791ab80ccf433939882a55d0e26d584

~54d· 124 markets · 444 tradesVol: $151,3122026-08-04 16:20:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

80
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (44/93)8.7/20
2.48x (win $8,470 / loss $3,416)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.30615/15
Sortino 13.80110/10
$+0.1235 per $1 invested6.2/10
HHI 218 (93 markets)10/10
21/39 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($1,159 / $5,126)9.5/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+2,886
Contrarian
59% entries < $0.55
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#34,878$317Vol: $34,337
🎭 CULTURE#7,806$509Vol: $23,179
📢 MENTIONS#174,965$-973Vol: $20,743
💰 FINANCE#650,979$-457Vol: $20,121
🌤️ WEATHER#3,910$292Vol: $18,072
⚽ SPORTS#18,021$2,406Vol: $17,902
₿ CRYPTO#33,988$811Vol: $14,515
📈 ECONOMICS#617,997$-16Vol: $1,863
💻 TECH#207,946$-3Vol: $580

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$2,886
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$151,312
Total Redeem
$927
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
124
total markets
Trades
193B / 251S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~54d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$2,886
Vol: $151,312

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
44W / 49L events
Realized PnL
$2,886
Win Rate
47%
44W / 49L
Profit Factor
2.48x
Avg Win
$193
Avg Loss
$-90

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,256 (1.4745597106199564% of PnL)

Top Winners

Colorado State Rams vs. Saint Mary's Gaels (W)$2,154
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-03-08?$1,087
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 61%?$1,015
Will Lithuania be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?$667
Will Ethena dip to $0.08 by December 31, 2026?$606
Will there be 14-16 inches of snow in NYC in January?$334
Will Trump post "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" on Truth Social this week?$319
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?$289
US Catanzaro 1929 vs. Modena FC 2018: O/U 2.5$261
Will Al Shabab Saudi Club win on 2025-12-20?$220

Top Losers

Will Trump post "Democrat Shutdown" on Truth Social this week?$-1,000
Will ChatGPT be back in as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 19?$-314
Will Hannah Spencer – Green Party finish third in the Gorton and Denton by-election?$-298
Will Starmer say "Reform" 2+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?$-277
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?$-195
Aberdeen FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 1.5$-178
Spread: Ipswich Town FC (-1.5)$-153
Will UpScrolled be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on January 30?$-126
Will White House post 160-179 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$-111
Another critical Cloudflare incident by June 30, 2026?$-104

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.274
Sortino
0.521
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.169
Kelly %
23.5%
Half-Kelly
11.8%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
16%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
4:00 UTC
Median Gap
20.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
47%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.7

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1238s — normal for humanCV 1.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)47% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal51% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 4:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.46
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.8%
Mid (20-55c)35.2%
High (>55c)40.9%

Sessions

#12
4/12/2026, 2:20:01 AM4 trades$1,8090 min
4/12/2026, 8:31:21 PM4 trades$1,8092 min
3/23/2026, 12:14:15 AM1 trades$1,7250 min
4/13/2026, 1:53:43 AM4 trades$1,6190 min
4/21/2026, 3:57:54 AM6 trades$1,6193 min
4/14/2026, 1:21:13 AM3 trades$1,3980 min
4/21/2026, 8:21:46 AM8 trades$1,3985 min
3/21/2026, 12:08:59 AM1 trades$1,2380 min
3/21/2026, 6:48:57 PM4 trades$1,2383 min
4/11/2026, 6:28:13 AM2 trades$1,2350 min
4/9/2026, 5:19:51 AM3 trades$1,0370 min
4/9/2026, 11:09:41 AM4 trades$1,0371 min
3/16/2026, 1:08:21 AM3 trades$1,0011 min
3/18/2026, 4:10:19 PM2 trades$9320 min
3/19/2026, 2:46:45 PM2 trades$9140 min
1/28/2026, 5:06:23 AM4 trades$8695 min
4/7/2026, 11:14:03 AM2 trades$8370 min
3/31/2026, 2:28:33 AM2 trades$8290 min
2/20/2026, 1:17:28 AM4 trades$8285 min
3/21/2026, 3:11:39 AM1 trades$7950 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-28
02-05
02-15
02-22
03-17
03-24
04-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
56.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.46/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.8 / M35.2 / H40.9