@lyovius
#2,810,654690xa61f8d3ec8691ca21e3e51987bde50559d18fa82
~21d· 204 markets · 1508 tradesVol: $210,8502026-08-04 22:44:01
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
5% (10/204)0/20
1.99x (win $1,562 / loss $786)14.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.10615/15
Sortino 18.76410/10
$+0.7511 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 238 (204 markets)10/10
5/20 profitable days (25%)0/10
Max DD 23% of peak ($210 / $925)9.5/10
Badges
4Lottery Player
97% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 23%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders
Categories
1🌤️ WEATHER#294,218$-370Vol: $210,850
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-370
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$210,850
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
204
total markets
Trades
1132B / 376S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
5%
10W / 194L events
Realized PnL
$-370
Win Rate
5%
10W / 194L
Profit Factor
1.99x
Avg Win
$156
Avg Loss
$-4
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $829 (2.242015306812343% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$366
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 28?$254
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on July 7?$209
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on June 28?$196
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on June 29?$170
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 19°C on July 12?$168
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 30?$160
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 35°C on July 3?$33
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 12?$-50
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13?$-21
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on June 15?$-19
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 27°C on June 30?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 30?$-15
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 30?$-14
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 10?$-13
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 30?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 10?$-12
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.261
Sortino
1.198
HHI
300
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.751
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15%
Top-5 markets
25.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
44.4
Active
Markets / Day
6.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
6:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
26.8m
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.63
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.1
Bot Detection
#640
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 241s — normal for humanCV 3.62 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock44 trades/day — high frequency6.0 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 6:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.39
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)97.2%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)2.8%
Sessions
#126/27/2026, 7:28:53 PM152 trades$56641 min
6/28/2026, 6:41:41 AM12 trades$4123 min
7/9/2026, 8:15:29 PM31 trades$2528 min
7/10/2026, 12:03:23 AM23 trades$2307 min
6/30/2026, 5:58:38 AM46 trades$22126 min
6/29/2026, 4:03:13 PM4 trades$1740 min
6/30/2026, 5:31:05 AM4 trades$1740 min
6/13/2026, 12:55:13 PM10 trades$1600 min
7/4/2026, 4:28:22 AM6 trades$1470 min
6/13/2026, 11:15:34 PM9 trades$1380 min
6/14/2026, 1:31:19 PM5 trades$1300 min
7/5/2026, 4:25:40 PM13 trades$1253 min
6/28/2026, 12:17:32 PM4 trades$1220 min
6/13/2026, 11:11:37 AM7 trades$1150 min
7/3/2026, 8:02:34 AM21 trades$11511 min
7/10/2026, 2:25:22 PM13 trades$1065 min
6/14/2026, 1:41:04 PM6 trades$1060 min
7/5/2026, 10:54:46 PM17 trades$1067 min
6/14/2026, 6:23:40 PM6 trades$1022 min
7/12/2026, 5:06:20 PM4 trades$855 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-12
06-15
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-10
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
24.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.39/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L97.2 / M0 / H2.8