@macau.weather
#14,701740x4989bfed5900ba096b08ba1f9b718464527c983e
~45d· 184 markets · 3368 tradesVol: $403,1042026-08-05 18:26:40
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
74
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
26% (48/183)0/20
1.92x (win $9,712 / loss $5,069)13.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 5.63415/15
Sortino 18.97510/10
$+0.2335 per $1 invested10/10
HHI 208 (183 markets)10/10
20/40 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 15% of peak ($715 / $4,643)10/10
Badges
4Profitable
PnL $+10,013
Lottery Player
49% entries < $0.20
Cool Head
Max DD 15%
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
5🌤️ WEATHER#192$10,017Vol: $402,949
🎭 CULTURE#638,089$-5Vol: $135
📈 ECONOMICS#487,729$-1Vol: $14
💰 FINANCE#109,147$2Vol: $3
📢 MENTIONS#44,409$1Vol: $3
Overview
#1Net PnL
$10,013
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$403,104
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
184
total markets
Trades
2122B / 1246S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~45d
Periods
#2Today
$152
Vol: $0
Week
$196
Vol: $347
Month
$-182
Vol: $5,353
All Time
$10,013
Vol: $403,104
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
26%
48W / 135L events
Realized PnL
$10,013
Win Rate
26%
48W / 135L
Profit Factor
1.92x
Avg Win
$202
Avg Loss
$-40
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $4,264 (0.42583179205298544% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 14?$2,074
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 7?$1,508
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 21?$682
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on July 23?$528
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?$492
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 27?$427
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 28?$393
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 23?$361
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 15?$356
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 20?$335
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 24?$-476
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 17?$-374
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 23?$-369
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 7?$-272
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 21?$-192
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 14?$-189
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 27?$-161
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 8?$-155
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 28?$-152
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 23?$-152
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.291
Sortino
0.899
HHI
275
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.234
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.9%
Top-5 markets
26.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
64.8
Very active
Markets / Day
3.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.2m
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.09
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
14.6
Bot Detection
#655
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 177s — normal for humanCV 4.09 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock65 trades/day — mass trading3.5 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 5:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
18.43
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)49.2%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)29.8%
Sessions
#127/14/2026, 1:50:20 AM54 trades$1,49016 min
6/24/2026, 10:41:25 AM16 trades$1,28511 min
6/28/2026, 1:27:02 PM2 trades$1,1950 min
6/27/2026, 12:12:23 PM4 trades$1,0220 min
7/7/2026, 2:16:26 PM2 trades$9970 min
7/20/2026, 4:17:13 PM2 trades$8770 min
6/19/2026, 4:18:47 PM8 trades$7201 min
6/20/2026, 12:34:11 PM52 trades$71728 min
7/11/2026, 11:27:26 PM2 trades$7040 min
6/27/2026, 4:13:14 PM1 trades$5780 min
6/27/2026, 10:09:19 AM9 trades$5600 min
7/30/2026, 6:22:38 AM9 trades$4821 min
7/22/2026, 1:10:10 PM31 trades$4788 min
7/19/2026, 6:04:12 AM1 trades$4610 min
7/22/2026, 2:39:22 PM13 trades$4347 min
7/10/2026, 3:12:55 PM18 trades$4103 min
7/11/2026, 7:32:43 AM8 trades$3994 min
7/22/2026, 6:18:27 PM8 trades$3928 min
7/7/2026, 2:47:11 AM41 trades$38916 min
6/19/2026, 11:09:53 AM49 trades$38019 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-09
06-15
06-21
06-27
07-08
07-16
07-23
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
WEATHER
98% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 18.43/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L49.2 / M21 / H29.8