@mackyfercash

#2,982,40928

0xed327ed50b06bd81790c4d68e31b3abbbd41df4a

~28d· 274 markets · 1221 tradesVol: $447,6652026-08-05 01:00:19
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

28
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

64% (172/268)17.1/20
0.27x (win $886 / loss $3,296)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.4060/15
Sortino -4.2960/10
$-0.3895 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1088 (268 markets)7.1/10
12/27 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 5146% of peak ($2,458 / $48)0/10

Badges

3
Sniper
Win rate 64%
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

3
SPORTS#1,838,079$-1,246Vol: $321,495
CRYPTO#1,582,983$-427Vol: $80,121
🎭 CULTURE#760,123$-49Vol: $46,050

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,721
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$447,665
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
274
total markets
Trades
478B / 743S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~28d

Periods

#2
Today
$-18
Vol: $307
Week
$-13
Vol: $803
Month
$-19
Vol: $814
All Time
$-1,721
Vol: $447,665

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
64%
172W / 96L events
Realized PnL
$-1,721
Win Rate
64%
172W / 96L
Profit Factor
0.27x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-39

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $184 (0.107172946747625% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on July 25, 2026?$67
Will SC Austria Lustenau win on 2026-07-25?$62
Will Inter Miami CF win on 2026-07-22?$55
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-07-22?$46
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET$40
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$38
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$33
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET$24
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$23

Top Losers

Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Argentina?$-535
Exact Score: England 0 - 0 Argentina?$-400
Solana Up or Down - July 29, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET$-336
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Argentina?$-300
Exact Score: England 3 - 3 Argentina?$-200
Exact Score: England 2 - 3 Argentina?$-200
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Argentina?$-200
Exact Score: England 3 - 2 Argentina?$-197
Will Vancouver Whitecaps FC win on 2026-07-22?$-59
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 0 Argentina?$-50

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.226
Sortino
-0.166
HHI
112
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.430
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.3%
Top-5 markets
18.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
38.2
Active
Markets / Day
8.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
39%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.65
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
11.7

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 507s — normal for humanCV 1.65 — diverse sizes (human-like)39% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock38 trades/day — high frequency8.6 markets/day — normal39% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.45
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)19%
Mid (20-55c)7.3%
High (>55c)73.6%

Sessions

#12
7/15/2026, 3:15:05 PM44 trades$22,9645 min
7/15/2026, 3:32:23 PM8 trades$2,3742 min
7/30/2026, 3:30:32 AM142 trades$2,14714 min
7/25/2026, 7:01:16 PM4 trades$1,2500 min
7/19/2026, 7:15:40 AM3 trades$9950 min
7/21/2026, 11:52:45 AM6 trades$6053 min
7/25/2026, 7:59:58 PM12 trades$4099 min
7/20/2026, 5:15:13 PM2 trades$3000 min
7/20/2026, 12:51:04 PM12 trades$2758 min
7/22/2026, 8:33:12 AM8 trades$2121 min
7/11/2026, 4:53:10 AM8 trades$17910 min
7/19/2026, 7:53:09 PM10 trades$1770 min
7/23/2026, 11:20:42 AM13 trades$1761 min
7/7/2026, 3:58:50 AM25 trades$16011 min
7/11/2026, 10:23:59 AM5 trades$1441 min
7/23/2026, 12:01:51 AM8 trades$1381 min
7/30/2026, 2:46:20 AM21 trades$13510 min
7/11/2026, 8:43:38 AM5 trades$1261 min
7/7/2026, 7:58:16 AM21 trades$1182 min
7/6/2026, 6:48:59 PM2 trades$1180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-30
07-04
07-08
07-12
07-19
07-24
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.45/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L19 / M7.3 / H73.6