@magdapolimarket

#2,803,57932

0x9bed760216c0e1b3877d0eca61cf7fd3e6217313

~208d· 416 markets · 672 tradesVol: $15,4042026-08-05 15:51:58
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

32
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

63% (254/406)16.3/20
0.58x (win $687 / loss $1,185)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.7910/15
Sortino -2.9000/10
$-0.1262 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 134 (406 markets)10/10
101/189 profitable days (53%)5.9/10
Max DD 8694% of peak ($568 / $7)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 63%
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

9
CRYPTO#1,334,366$-33Vol: $4,683
💰 FINANCE#639,418$-155Vol: $3,759
SPORTS#1,686,416$-106Vol: $2,631
🏛️ POLITICS#397,042$0Vol: $1,544
📈 ECONOMICS#501,301$-1Vol: $1,483
💻 TECH#224,171$-8Vol: $735
🎭 CULTURE#664,829$-7Vol: $280
🌤️ WEATHER#272,259$-38Vol: $224
📢 MENTIONS#119,627$-6Vol: $48

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-347
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,404
Total Redeem
$48
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
416
total markets
Trades
468B / 204S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~208d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$5
Vol: $80
Month
$3
Vol: $100
All Time
$-347
Vol: $15,404

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
254W / 151L events
Realized PnL
$-348
Win Rate
63%
254W / 151L
Profit Factor
0.58x
Avg Win
$3
Avg Loss
$-9

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $74 (0.2121918241707661% of PnL)

Top Winners

Ethereum Up or Down - November 14, 4:00PM-8:00PM ET$37
Will PayPal (PYPL) beat quarterly earnings?$24
Hurricanes vs. Senators$13
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-18?$13
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?$13
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?$12
Will the price of Solana be between $130 and $140 on December 2?$12
Chargers vs. Cowboys$11
Ethereum Up or Down - November 4, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET$11
Golden Knights vs. Penguins$11

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-138
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-66
Will PepsiCo (PEP) beat quarterly earnings?$-46
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 8AM ET$-32
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET$-28
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$-20
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) beat quarterly earnings?$-16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104,000 and $106,000 on November 2?$-15
Russell 2000 (RUT) Up or Down on October 30?$-15
Solana Up or Down on November 2?$-15

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.146
Sortino
-0.111
HHI
121
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.121
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.8%
Top-5 markets
17.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.5
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.7h
between trades
Night Trading
13%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.30
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 1.30 — diverse sizes (human-like)13% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal1.5 markets/day — normal21% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.64
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6%
Mid (20-55c)19%
High (>55c)75%

Sessions

#12
7/6/2026, 11:12:49 PM4 trades$1990 min
7/29/2026, 12:19:37 AM2 trades$1820 min
7/29/2026, 12:14:28 AM3 trades$1700 min
7/30/2026, 12:08:36 AM3 trades$1420 min
7/26/2026, 2:46:25 PM3 trades$1000 min
7/24/2026, 9:21:25 AM1 trades$910 min
7/4/2026, 9:58:46 PM1 trades$690 min
7/22/2026, 9:57:31 PM1 trades$630 min
12/21/2025, 3:12:45 PM8 trades$599 min
7/15/2026, 10:20:04 AM1 trades$530 min
12/21/2025, 2:33:53 AM7 trades$507 min
7/16/2026, 6:24:53 PM2 trades$470 min
5/4/2026, 10:27:38 PM12 trades$473 min
7/23/2026, 3:31:28 PM1 trades$470 min
7/23/2026, 7:55:27 PM2 trades$470 min
1/7/2026, 4:34:47 PM8 trades$4711 min
12/17/2025, 2:57:28 PM7 trades$4614 min
7/9/2026, 3:59:38 AM1 trades$460 min
7/17/2026, 11:56:45 PM10 trades$460 min
12/20/2025, 1:51:44 AM8 trades$459 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-23
12-07
01-22
02-25
04-02
06-07
08-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 267 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.4% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.64/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6 / M19 / H75