@mamaolya

#2,952,32269

0x4ab62355a650a53bb1a363ec4f566477cef775b5

~136d· 1376 markets · 5722 tradesVol: $505,8432026-08-06 07:54:12
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

69
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (749/1370)12.3/20
1.24x (win $14,648 / loss $11,847)5.5/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.82215/15
Sortino 3.01910/10
$+0.0912 per $1 invested4.6/10
HHI 75 (1370 markets)10/10
73/132 profitable days (55%)6.3/10
Max DD 42% of peak ($1,183 / $2,838)5.7/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

7
🎭 CULTURE#810,332$-884Vol: $366,295
🌤️ WEATHER#294,325$-350Vol: $136,544
CRYPTO#984,114$-3Vol: $2,690
🏛️ POLITICS#126,301$23Vol: $271
SPORTS#1,238,766$-6Vol: $35
📢 MENTIONS#66,310$-0Vol: $4
💻 TECH#113,560$0Vol: $4

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$505,843
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1376
total markets
Trades
2981B / 2741S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~136d

Periods

#2
Today
$22
Vol: $180
Week
$60
Vol: $1,851
Month
$94
Vol: $2,019
All Time
$-1,220
Vol: $505,843

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
749W / 621L events
Realized PnL
$-1,220
Win Rate
55%
749W / 621L
Profit Factor
1.24x
Avg Win
$20
Avg Loss
$-26

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $3,085 (2.5275913772337337% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$1,113
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$1,059
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$912
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$789
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$631
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$495
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$451
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?$389
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?$386
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13?$367

Top Losers

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?$-2,737
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?$-558
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?$-499
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?$-383
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?$-375
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-328
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?$-324
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 76-77°F on April 1?$-279
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?$-231
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$-195

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.095
Sortino
0.116
HHI
80
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.091
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.7%
Top-5 markets
13.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
32.9
Active
Markets / Day
7.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.7m
between trades
Night Trading
14%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.24
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 230s — normal for humanCV 3.24 — diverse sizes (human-like)14% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock33 trades/day — high frequency7.9 markets/day — normal62% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 17:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.17
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)6.1%
High (>55c)83.2%

Sessions

#12
4/7/2026, 10:21:27 AM12 trades$1,64915 min
5/2/2026, 3:35:48 PM3 trades$1,4222 min
4/10/2026, 3:25:15 PM3 trades$8940 min
6/13/2026, 8:21:25 AM25 trades$7463 min
3/31/2026, 3:20:03 PM8 trades$7301 min
5/5/2026, 8:22:52 AM29 trades$7154 min
4/30/2026, 7:49:44 PM7 trades$65510 min
4/7/2026, 3:53:05 PM1 trades$6010 min
4/3/2026, 5:22:03 PM2 trades$6000 min
4/10/2026, 8:03:21 AM2 trades$5801 min
4/28/2026, 2:24:16 PM1 trades$5530 min
5/1/2026, 6:50:00 AM4 trades$5000 min
3/3/2026, 4:48:57 PM1 trades$4920 min
4/3/2026, 1:43:57 PM16 trades$48512 min
3/31/2026, 8:38:29 AM8 trades$46411 min
2/28/2026, 5:15:49 PM6 trades$4555 min
3/13/2026, 6:57:27 PM3 trades$4502 min
4/3/2026, 3:24:43 PM4 trades$4490 min
4/3/2026, 3:55:41 PM1 trades$4480 min
4/2/2026, 3:29:19 PM7 trades$4487 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-14
03-09
04-02
05-05
06-08
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 1 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
22% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.17/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M6.1 / H83.2