@mandenudennavn

#3,028,5450

0x8d9b486e283a5667be77ac606a7ea657ab272b32

~11d· 8 markets · 215 tradesVol: $184,9472026-08-04 15:18:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

20% (1/5)0/20
0.12x (win $1,381 / loss $11,225)0/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.0000/15
Sortino 0.0000/10
$-1.4809 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 9624 (5 markets)0/10
1/5 profitable days (20%)0/10
Max DD 813% of peak ($11,225 / $1,381)0/10

Categories

3
🏛️ POLITICS#1,630,974$-3,364Vol: $181,072
💰 FINANCE#630,812$-94Vol: $2,401
📈 ECONOMICS#18,534$48Vol: $1,474

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-3,410
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$184,947
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
38B / 177S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-3,410
Vol: $184,947

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
20%
1W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-3,410
Win Rate
20%
1W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.12x
Avg Win
$1,381
Avg Loss
$-2,806

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,381 (0.4050379355550146% of PnL)

Top Winners

Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?$1,381

Top Losers

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-10,512
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?$-662
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) Q2 revenue (USD) be above $40B?$-50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in July?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.407
Sortino
-0.383
HHI
16863
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.924
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
126.8%
Top-5 markets
160.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
5.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.5m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.12
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
25
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.6

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 447s — normal for humanCV 2.12 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule6 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal18% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
47.2
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)7.9%
High (>55c)63.2%

Sessions

#12
6/17/2026, 11:39:29 PM12 trades$61,4250 min
6/16/2026, 1:51:55 AM18 trades$27,3080 min
6/15/2026, 10:23:04 PM12 trades$11,9570 min
6/13/2026, 5:13:31 PM5 trades$3,9290 min
6/14/2026, 9:51:22 PM4 trades$8750 min
6/14/2026, 3:07:09 PM21 trades$6603 min
7/6/2026, 1:13:10 AM2 trades$5340 min
7/20/2026, 12:58:07 AM2 trades$5340 min
6/14/2026, 3:30:10 PM13 trades$4129 min
6/14/2026, 2:47:27 PM25 trades$3944 min
7/20/2026, 4:05:40 PM6 trades$3320 min
6/14/2026, 3:23:18 AM15 trades$3071 min
6/14/2026, 2:35:03 PM6 trades$2950 min
7/21/2026, 4:06:25 PM9 trades$2160 min
6/14/2026, 4:07:09 AM6 trades$1580 min
7/6/2026, 9:06:07 PM11 trades$1555 min
6/14/2026, 3:17:49 PM14 trades$1470 min
6/14/2026, 11:45:03 AM5 trades$1360 min
6/14/2026, 3:31:12 AM7 trades$1350 min
6/14/2026, 11:00:51 AM5 trades$1320 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-14
06-17
07-06
07-14
07-20

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 36 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
82.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 47.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L28.9 / M7.9 / H63.2