@manlu

#300,48062

0xb7d321f3848e944f98b9b36160547a021ac21676

~114d· 72 markets · 443 tradesVol: $8,904 @lumane2a2026-08-05 00:13:33
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

62
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (21/46)7.8/20
1.39x (win $207 / loss $149)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.15215/15
Sortino 4.69310/10
$+0.0345 per $1 invested1.7/10
HHI 354 (46 markets)10/10
14/28 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 43% of peak ($41 / $96)5.4/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+57
Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
92% maker orders

Categories

2
CRYPTO#123,440$54Vol: $8,834
💰 FINANCE#96,092$3Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$57
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$8,904
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
72
total markets
Trades
350B / 93S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~114d

Periods

#2
Today
$-2
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-5
Vol: $0
All Time
$57
Vol: $8,904

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
21W / 25L events
Realized PnL
$57
Win Rate
46%
21W / 25L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $158 (2.7874736101337083% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $58,000 and $60,000 on June 25?$75
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 5AM ET$69
Will Ethereum dip to $2,500 by December 31, 2026?$15
Will Ethereum dip to $3,000 by December 31?$11
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31? $7
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$6
Will Hyperliquid reach $54 by December 31, 2026?$4
Solana all time high before 2026?$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET$4
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?$3

Top Losers

GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-27
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$-16
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on June 25?$-15
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?$-12
GRVT FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-12
No airdrop in 2025?$-10
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on June 25?$-10
EdgeX FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 4AM ET$-7
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 8, 4AM ET$-6

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.111
Sortino
0.212
HHI
104
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.064
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
16%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2h
between trades
Avg Gap
4.1h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 4479s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal92% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.72
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)24.3%
Mid (20-55c)35.7%
High (>55c)40%

Sessions

#12
4/30/2026, 8:57:18 AM19 trades$6617 min
11/17/2025, 4:29:17 AM2 trades$531 min
12/29/2025, 5:25:25 AM5 trades$499 min
11/7/2025, 6:31:13 AM2 trades$460 min
4/7/2026, 12:55:29 PM4 trades$452 min
3/19/2026, 1:06:21 PM1 trades$430 min
10/25/2025, 1:41:59 PM2 trades$431 min
12/10/2025, 3:20:12 PM1 trades$420 min
12/5/2025, 1:22:43 AM1 trades$410 min
2/4/2026, 9:48:07 PM1 trades$410 min
3/20/2026, 7:52:59 AM1 trades$400 min
11/8/2025, 5:10:59 AM1 trades$390 min
11/26/2025, 6:34:21 PM1 trades$390 min
11/28/2025, 6:24:43 AM1 trades$390 min
4/30/2026, 8:25:18 AM7 trades$364 min
11/28/2025, 1:47:53 PM1 trades$290 min
11/11/2025, 11:50:04 AM1 trades$290 min
4/1/2026, 8:26:47 AM2 trades$280 min
11/1/2025, 11:35:21 AM1 trades$280 min
4/1/2026, 12:42:41 PM2 trades$270 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-25
11-08
11-28
03-27
04-19
05-31
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
21% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.72/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L24.3 / M35.7 / H40