mantou11

@mantou11

#3,50273

0x54dbe14d342f129be293df83a12515065b6c0174

~331d· 832 markets · 9334 tradesVol: $3,346,5042026-08-04 16:21:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

73
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (436/772)13.2/20
1.42x (win $132,349 / loss $92,892)7.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.24315/15
Sortino 3.69410/10
$+0.0626 per $1 invested3.1/10
HHI 118 (772 markets)10/10
123/215 profitable days (57%)6.8/10
Max DD 35% of peak ($14,157 / $40,807)7.1/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+51,075
Lottery Player
53% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 12.3 entries/market
Whale
$629,800 invested
High Roller
$1,075/day
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🏛️ POLITICS#1,066$46,862Vol: $2,724,712
🎭 CULTURE#4,946$1,027Vol: $226,517
📈 ECONOMICS#2,744$1,191Vol: $158,112
🌤️ WEATHER#291,746$-230Vol: $77,003
💰 FINANCE#3,123$1,510Vol: $73,513
₿ CRYPTO#38,693$629Vol: $46,001
⚽ SPORTS#1,765,016$-289Vol: $35,477
💻 TECH#2,694$375Vol: $5,100
📢 MENTIONS#34,979$2Vol: $70

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$51,075
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$3,346,504
Total Redeem
$121
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
832
total markets
Trades
4943B / 4391S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~331d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$52
Vol: $0
Month
$217
Vol: $11
All Time
$51,075
Vol: $3,346,504

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
436W / 336L events
Realized PnL
$51,075
Win Rate
56%
436W / 336L
Profit Factor
1.42x
Avg Win
$304
Avg Loss
$-297

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $46,027 (0.9011507872565832% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?$31,536
Will Democrats win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?$9,910
Will egg prices be between $5.50 and $5.75 in March?$4,581
Will Nicușor Dan win by 0–6%?$3,375
Will the CDU/CSU win by 8-10%?$2,857
Will Finland be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?$2,743
Will egg prices be between $5.25 and $5.50 in March?$2,665
Will Inuit Ataqatigiit win the most seats in the next Greenland parliamentary election?$2,652
Will the Liberals win between 180-189 seats in the next Canadian Election?$2,441
Will the Liberals win between 190-210 seats in the next Canadian Election?$2,398

Top Losers

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$-32,181
Will egg prices be more than $6.00 in March?$-11,632
Will the Liberals win between 160-169 seats in the next Canadian Election?$-9,638
Will Nicușor Dan win by 6–12%?$-6,506
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Trailer 2 get less than 60m views in first 24 hours?$-1,702
Will the NYC Mayoral Democratic Primary be decided in round 3?$-1,532
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?$-1,403
Will the Conservatives win between 140-149 seats in the next Canadian Election?$-1,201
Will Randy Fine win by less than 10%?$-1,009
Will the Liberal Party win by 25–49 seats?$-933

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.117
Sortino
0.128
HHI
130
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.061
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.7%
Top-5 markets
18.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
15.9
Active
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
43.8m
between trades
Night Trading
10%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.16
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
14 min
Avg Trades / Session
18.8

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 156s — normal for humanCV 3.16 — diverse sizes (human-like)10% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock16 trades/day — very active1.4 markets/day — normal53% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
12.3
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)53.2%
Mid (20-55c)17.3%
High (>55c)29.6%

Sessions

#12
5/4/2025, 9:05:05 PM42 trades$26,95027 min
5/18/2025, 5:07:07 PM21 trades$20,36718 min
5/18/2025, 6:56:45 PM28 trades$15,92121 min
5/18/2025, 4:05:21 PM14 trades$14,3227 min
6/1/2025, 8:25:09 PM17 trades$13,81328 min
5/15/2025, 2:36:30 PM9 trades$13,5684 min
5/15/2025, 3:14:42 PM40 trades$12,66622 min
5/13/2025, 5:36:32 PM15 trades$11,81211 min
3/12/2025, 5:26:57 AM2 trades$11,5701 min
5/4/2025, 8:31:25 PM27 trades$10,82728 min
12/25/2025, 10:13:51 AM1 trades$9,9800 min
5/6/2025, 11:02:52 PM61 trades$9,95747 min
5/16/2025, 11:36:54 AM13 trades$9,05610 min
5/9/2026, 11:22:35 AM4 trades$8,8440 min
4/29/2025, 7:02:46 PM50 trades$8,69415 min
9/28/2025, 7:03:23 PM36 trades$8,26931 min
5/16/2026, 11:03:43 PM42 trades$7,9742 min
3/18/2025, 5:01:53 PM31 trades$7,76943 min
10/25/2025, 9:45:59 AM10 trades$7,47412 min
10/21/2025, 4:21:35 PM14 trades$7,12322 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-18
03-23
05-01
08-25
10-24
03-25
07-08

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
47% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 12.3/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L53.2 / M17.3 / H29.6