@maplesugars
#3,024,806330x9dc5fa3f999f3f72863bc31626761fea8e03d6b7
~101d· 1954 markets · 5888 tradesVol: $415,6712026-08-03 16:54:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
59% (1130/1924)14.4/20
0.94x (win $48,063 / loss $51,018)1.8/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.5020/15
Sortino -1.8520/10
$-0.0188 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 23 (1924 markets)10/10
55/98 profitable days (56%)6.5/10
Max DD 252% of peak ($4,950 / $1,963)0/10
Badges
3Whale
$156,837 invested
Win Streak
14 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
9₿ CRYPTO#1,637,341$-1,610Vol: $274,774
🏛️ POLITICS#1,608,517$-804Vol: $46,058
🌤️ WEATHER#292,775$-289Vol: $41,287
🎭 CULTURE#7,407$553Vol: $32,543
⚽ SPORTS#1,148,022$-3Vol: $10,042
💰 FINANCE#651,288$-630Vol: $5,227
📈 ECONOMICS#61,076$5Vol: $707
📢 MENTIONS#29,265$3Vol: $40
💻 TECH#40,200$1Vol: $40
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-3,220
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$415,671
Total Redeem
$60
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1954
total markets
Trades
4579B / 1309S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~101d
Periods
#2Today
$26
Vol: $798
Week
$26
Vol: $1,564
Month
$121
Vol: $1,758
All Time
$-3,220
Vol: $415,671
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
59%
1130W / 794L events
Realized PnL
$-3,226
Win Rate
59%
1130W / 794L
Profit Factor
0.94x
Avg Win
$43
Avg Loss
$-66
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,334 (0.41341054008561773% of PnL)
Top Winners
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET$476
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET$445
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on July 8?$413
Solana Up or Down - February 27, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$413
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,900 on January 29?$334
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET$332
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 21 to February 23, 2026?$300
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$277
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET$262
Ethereum Up or Down - February 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$249
Top Losers
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?$-941
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $89 on June 10?$-881
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?$-755
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $91 on June 10?$-600
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on July 15?$-535
EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?$-386
Will Andrea Pirlo be the next head coach of the Italian National Soccer Team?$-355
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on July 8?$-298
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on July 8?$-285
Ethereum Up or Down - March 3, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$-279
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.080
HHI
18
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.019
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.8%
Top-5 markets
5.9%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
28.9
Active
Markets / Day
9.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
13:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
32.6m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
19.7
Bot Detection
#645
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
MEDIUM
Median gap 184s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock29 trades/day — high frequency9.6 markets/day — normal52% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 13:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)12.6%
Mid (20-55c)30.5%
High (>55c)57%
Sessions
#127/29/2026, 2:17:11 AM98 trades$6,3201 min
7/9/2026, 1:12:41 AM127 trades$2,49114 min
3/3/2026, 8:40:55 AM52 trades$1,65724 min
2/28/2026, 7:08:33 AM2 trades$1,4840 min
6/10/2026, 7:21:09 AM14 trades$1,1363 min
3/5/2026, 10:49:33 AM12 trades$1,07510 min
2/24/2026, 2:52:38 PM5 trades$1,0204 min
6/30/2026, 9:40:14 PM8 trades$1,0148 min
2/28/2026, 2:51:03 AM1 trades$9940 min
2/20/2026, 2:05:12 PM34 trades$9758 min
3/3/2026, 2:07:57 PM31 trades$91111 min
7/9/2026, 2:03:44 AM6 trades$9041 min
2/28/2026, 12:03:13 PM45 trades$90124 min
6/30/2026, 8:44:19 AM4 trades$8124 min
2/28/2026, 6:25:03 AM2 trades$7984 min
2/28/2026, 9:07:25 AM59 trades$78218 min
2/23/2026, 4:23:16 PM2 trades$7463 min
2/28/2026, 12:57:21 PM48 trades$64013 min
2/28/2026, 11:43:09 AM40 trades$6408 min
3/4/2026, 4:59:25 AM28 trades$60614 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
01-28
02-18
03-06
06-26
07-13
07-30
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 164 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
14% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
22.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L12.6 / M30.5 / H57