@marcelofill757

#2,965,27030

0x3a04d9026b6e8ae5097322378df0f5edbedb0ede

~33d· 23 markets · 38 tradesVol: $11,7392026-08-04 22:43:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

30
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

60% (9/15)15/20
0.62x (win $2,289 / loss $3,712)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.6500/15
Sortino -4.2450/10
$-0.2160 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1002 (15 markets)7.5/10
9/15 profitable days (60%)7.5/10
Max DD 826% of peak ($2,497 / $302)0/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 60%
Diamond Hands
8% sells
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
71% maker orders

Categories

5
⚽ SPORTS#1,863,776$-2,937Vol: $7,144
₿ CRYPTO#27,737$1,183Vol: $3,486
🏛️ POLITICS#35,012$316Vol: $828
📈 ECONOMICS#205,820$0Vol: $100
🎭 CULTURE#223,511$0Vol: $81

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,437
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,739
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
23
total markets
Trades
35B / 3S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~33d

Periods

#2
Today
$1
Vol: $0
Week
$1
Vol: $0
Month
$1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,437
Vol: $11,739

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
60%
9W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-1,437
Win Rate
60%
9W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$254
Avg Loss
$-619

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,551 (1.0791567195862943% of PnL)

Top Winners

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 1?$794
Solana Up or Down on May 28?$440
Liberals win majority in Canadian election?$317
Punjab Kings vs. Royal Challengers Bangalore$264
Golden Knights vs. Wild$231
Ethereum Up or Down on May 24?$229
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?$9
Will Labour Party win the most seats in the House of Representatives in the 2026 Maltese general election?$5
Will Elina Svitolina win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$1

Top Losers

Reds vs. Pirates$-980
Warriors vs. Timberwolves$-816
Brewers vs. Reds$-741
Mumbai Indians vs. Punjab Kings$-650
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 22?$-280
Chennai Super Kings vs. Sunrisers Hyderabad$-245

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.185
Sortino
-0.320
HHI
876
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.231
Kelly %
17.2%
Half-Kelly
8.6%
Top-1 market
14.9%
Top-5 markets
60.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
17/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.5h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
36
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.1

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2480s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours17/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal71% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.4
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)28.6%
High (>55c)71.4%

Sessions

#12
5/20/2025, 10:56:39 AM1 trades$9800 min
5/5/2025, 7:27:02 AM1 trades$8160 min
5/30/2025, 11:05:12 AM1 trades$7890 min
6/2/2025, 10:17:20 AM1 trades$7410 min
5/26/2025, 11:21:03 AM1 trades$6500 min
5/27/2025, 8:04:20 AM1 trades$4400 min
5/21/2025, 7:43:27 AM1 trades$2800 min
5/29/2025, 9:49:27 AM1 trades$2640 min
4/25/2025, 10:49:22 AM1 trades$2450 min
5/23/2025, 2:11:15 AM1 trades$2290 min
4/28/2025, 7:27:41 AM1 trades$2110 min
4/24/2025, 12:57:12 AM1 trades$1670 min
5/8/2026, 11:36:00 AM1 trades$490 min
5/25/2026, 9:36:34 AM1 trades$480 min
5/30/2026, 10:53:31 AM1 trades$480 min
6/17/2026, 8:35:38 AM1 trades$480 min
7/25/2026, 7:02:27 PM2 trades$482 min
6/7/2026, 4:15:54 PM1 trades$480 min
6/25/2026, 6:25:35 PM1 trades$480 min
7/27/2026, 8:05:13 PM1 trades$480 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
04-28
05-20
05-23
05-27
05-30
05-06
05-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 28 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
7.9% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.4/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M28.6 / H71.4