@market-watch

#206,58885

0x1bb0ab3d4efabe31a77af7c8c5d81043f08cc033

~11d· 18 markets · 46 tradesVol: $1,1422026-08-04 18:54:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

85
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

88% (15/17)20/20
13.98x (win $79 / loss $6)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 9.33815/15
Sortino 168.46610/10
$+0.0945 per $1 invested4.7/10
HHI 3325 (17 markets)0/10
8/10 profitable days (80%)10/10
Max DD 5% of peak ($4 / $73)10/10

Badges

5
Sniper
Win rate 88%
Profitable
PnL $+135
Consistent
8/10 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 5%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row

Categories

2
💰 FINANCE#15,755$130Vol: $1,132
₿ CRYPTO#292,943$5Vol: $10

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$135
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$1,142
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
18
total markets
Trades
35B / 11S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$113
Vol: $603
Week
$113
Vol: $603
Month
$113
Vol: $603
All Time
$135
Vol: $1,142

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
88%
15W / 2L events
Realized PnL
$135
Win Rate
88%
15W / 2L
Profit Factor
13.98x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-3

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $56 (0.4122143069159988% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Wix.com (WIX) beat quarterly earnings?$33
Will Merck & Co (MRK) beat quarterly earnings?$14
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$8
Will Capital One (COF) beat quarterly earnings?$6
Will Do Kwon be sentenced to 9–12 years in prison?$5
Will DeepSeek’s DeepSeek V3.1 Chat win the NOF1.ai competition?$4
Will Aptiv (APTV) beat quarterly earnings?$4
Will Paychex (PAYX) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will FactSet Research Systems (FDS) beat quarterly earnings?$1
Will Carnival (CCL) beat quarterly earnings?$1

Top Losers

Will Conagra Brands (CAG) beat quarterly earnings?$-4
Will JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$-2

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.464
Sortino
15.713
HHI
2481
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.095
Kelly %
70.5%
Half-Kelly
35.2%
Top-1 market
45.5%
Top-5 markets
79.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
10:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.07
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
31
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.5

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 972s — normal for humanCV 2.07 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal28% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 10:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)0%
Mid (20-55c)2.9%
High (>55c)97.1%

Sessions

#12
8/4/2026, 7:00:02 AM2 trades$4440 min
8/4/2026, 5:00:03 AM3 trades$2550 min
8/4/2026, 10:30:03 AM3 trades$1660 min
10/29/2025, 1:23:51 PM1 trades$1040 min
10/29/2025, 7:45:29 AM1 trades$1000 min
12/18/2025, 9:07:05 PM2 trades$403 min
12/19/2025, 1:30:04 PM2 trades$390 min
8/4/2026, 10:46:15 AM1 trades$350 min
12/18/2025, 9:15:21 PM1 trades$200 min
12/19/2025, 12:30:10 PM1 trades$200 min
12/19/2025, 2:15:04 PM1 trades$190 min
7/16/2026, 8:01:44 PM1 trades$100 min
1/12/2026, 5:37:09 PM1 trades$90 min
7/21/2026, 8:07:06 PM1 trades$70 min
1/12/2026, 12:15:22 PM1 trades$70 min
12/11/2025, 6:51:07 AM1 trades$50 min
1/12/2026, 1:27:24 PM1 trades$40 min
12/12/2025, 5:13:22 PM3 trades$35 min
12/19/2025, 10:23:04 AM3 trades$24 min
12/12/2025, 5:23:26 PM2 trades$24 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-29
12-11
12-12
12-18
12-19
01-12
06-16
07-16
07-21
08-04

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 25 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
23.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L0 / M2.9 / H97.1