@marwan99
#2,679,573230xd6773adcdbb1f16be8ea324044df445a8fcbaa0e
~154d· 337 markets · 1030 tradesVol: $61,9302026-08-04 22:09:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
47% (156/331)8.6/20
0.85x (win $2,066 / loss $2,437)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.4960/15
Sortino -1.9150/10
$-0.0530 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 90 (331 markets)10/10
57/125 profitable days (46%)3.9/10
Max DD 465% of peak ($591 / $127)0/10
Badges
3Contrarian
60% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
Categories
8⚽ SPORTS#110,137$122Vol: $45,083
🏛️ POLITICS#1,579,080$-282Vol: $8,701
💰 FINANCE#617,366$-47Vol: $4,674
💻 TECH#6,062$97Vol: $1,362
📈 ECONOMICS#99,653$1Vol: $1,243
₿ CRYPTO#1,278,087$-22Vol: $540
🎭 CULTURE#629,826$-4Vol: $172
📢 MENTIONS#25,552$5Vol: $23
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-173
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$61,930
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
337
total markets
Trades
703B / 327S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~154d
Periods
#2Today
$-11
Vol: $0
Week
$-6
Vol: $0
Month
$-11
Vol: $0
All Time
$-173
Vol: $61,930
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
47%
156W / 175L events
Realized PnL
$-173
Win Rate
47%
156W / 175L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$13
Avg Loss
$-16
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $270 (1.5633362293657689% of PnL)
Top Winners
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?$127
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$72
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 7, 2026?$70
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on IPO day?$68
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$57
Israel closes its airspace by June 15?$52
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$52
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?$49
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 18, 2026?$48
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-01-28?$40
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-265
Israel strike on Yemen by April 30, 2026?$-102
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-91
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?$-74
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-70
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?$-63
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?$-60
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$-57
Will Tesla say "Loyalty" during earnings call?$-50
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$-37
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.078
Sortino
-0.094
HHI
99
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.050
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
4.2%
Top-5 markets
13.7%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
2.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
32.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.3h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.9
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1936s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal64% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 19:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.24
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)23%
Mid (20-55c)36.8%
High (>55c)40.1%
Sessions
#127/13/2026, 3:46:07 PM2 trades$3330 min
1/22/2026, 6:35:24 PM1 trades$2440 min
4/2/2026, 3:01:07 PM3 trades$2440 min
4/4/2026, 10:28:57 AM11 trades$1457 min
6/12/2026, 9:22:27 AM4 trades$1321 min
4/2/2026, 1:03:33 PM5 trades$1200 min
2/23/2026, 7:04:44 PM32 trades$11766 min
4/2/2026, 11:04:59 AM2 trades$1140 min
4/11/2026, 3:37:15 PM5 trades$1142 min
7/11/2026, 8:56:44 PM6 trades$1080 min
2/28/2026, 10:26:31 AM2 trades$1024 min
5/13/2026, 6:57:02 AM4 trades$961 min
3/28/2026, 8:41:33 AM2 trades$910 min
5/22/2026, 10:30:29 PM3 trades$910 min
10/12/2025, 3:42:46 PM1 trades$900 min
6/12/2026, 6:18:19 PM3 trades$890 min
6/17/2026, 9:55:02 AM10 trades$891 min
1/28/2026, 7:48:24 PM4 trades$818 min
3/28/2026, 8:59:07 AM4 trades$813 min
5/29/2026, 3:56:24 PM3 trades$794 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-26
01-31
02-28
03-23
05-22
06-17
07-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 86 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.24/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23 / M36.8 / H40.1