@mashutka

#17,72883

0x40274d8d5146dba19910d0818ff2fbf75fd61f6a

~90d· 173 markets · 1728 tradesVol: $654,0542026-08-04 18:58:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

54% (80/147)12.2/20
2.48x (win $13,574 / loss $5,480)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 4.56615/15
Sortino 9.47710/10
$+0.0637 per $1 invested3.2/10
HHI 699 (147 markets)9/10
35/53 profitable days (66%)9/10
Max DD 24% of peak ($2,012 / $8,287)9.1/10

Badges

9
Profitable
PnL $+7,941
Lottery Player
35% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 9.6 entries/market
Whale
$127,106 invested
Consistent
35/53 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 24%
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
85% maker orders

Categories

6
🏛️ POLITICS#7,805$3,647Vol: $313,915
CRYPTO#12,082$3,908Vol: $177,124
📈 ECONOMICS#4,160$607Vol: $137,056
SPORTS#1,744,703$-213Vol: $24,617
🎭 CULTURE#154,315$1Vol: $1,172
💰 FINANCE#574,219$-10Vol: $170

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$7,941
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$654,054
Total Redeem
$798
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
173
total markets
Trades
1182B / 546S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~90d

Periods

#2
Today
$-9
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $0
Month
$-32
Vol: $0
All Time
$7,941
Vol: $654,054

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
80W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$7,941
Win Rate
54%
80W / 67L
Profit Factor
2.48x
Avg Win
$170
Avg Loss
$-83

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $6,130 (0.7719550559533734% of PnL)

Top Winners

MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$2,819
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?$1,689
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?$1,622
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$890
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?$731
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?$646
Will the Buffalo Bills win Super Bowl 2026?$420
Bitcoin above $100,000 on December 13?$386
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in November?$385
US government shutdown Saturday?$374

Top Losers

Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-1,994
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?$-813
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$-480
Israel strikes Iranian oil in October?$-352
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?$-255
Flying Tulip FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-254
Texans vs. Colts$-198
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?$-154
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-119
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.237
Sortino
0.316
HHI
432
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.079
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
11.9%
Top-5 markets
39.8%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.6
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
33.7m
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.80
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
6 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.9

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 134s — normal for humanCV 3.80 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal85% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 15:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.57
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)34.8%
Mid (20-55c)21%
High (>55c)44.2%

Sessions

#12
1/15/2026, 2:06:26 AM1 trades$8,2000 min
1/10/2026, 1:37:30 PM14 trades$6,5708 min
1/10/2026, 2:57:34 PM3 trades$6,0995 min
2/4/2026, 10:23:35 PM2 trades$6,0684 min
2/8/2026, 7:52:47 AM16 trades$6,03112 min
1/12/2026, 12:45:08 AM3 trades$5,8081 min
1/18/2026, 10:52:08 PM13 trades$5,37216 min
1/9/2026, 3:13:44 AM6 trades$5,2626 min
2/6/2026, 2:11:01 PM1 trades$5,0440 min
1/10/2026, 3:22:40 PM2 trades$4,8470 min
1/31/2026, 10:18:42 AM2 trades$4,8031 min
1/12/2026, 12:28:16 AM5 trades$4,7569 min
1/22/2026, 3:49:52 PM3 trades$4,6636 min
1/10/2026, 3:10:58 PM9 trades$4,6481 min
1/11/2026, 10:47:44 PM3 trades$4,5533 min
1/14/2026, 2:58:40 PM38 trades$3,45222 min
1/19/2026, 12:12:52 AM10 trades$3,35613 min
1/30/2026, 2:17:32 AM6 trades$3,0251 min
2/8/2026, 8:43:37 PM1 trades$2,9270 min
1/11/2026, 10:22:16 PM16 trades$2,76518 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-03
01-05
09-19
01-12
01-22
02-01
03-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 5 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
31.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.57/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L34.8 / M21 / H44.2