@math-monkey

#2,644,03525

0x223875ba2257c669cd376590ff3ce27e9f07a5e2

~12d· 71 markets · 389 tradesVol: $4,1982026-08-04 23:03:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

25
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (36/66)12.3/20
0.81x (win $171 / loss $211)0.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -4.0600/15
Sortino -4.6280/10
$-0.0478 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 260 (66 markets)10/10
4/10 profitable days (40%)2.5/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($69 / $0)0/10

Badges

4
Lottery Player
32% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 5.6 entries/market
Win Streak
8 wins in a row
🏗️Market Maker
91% maker orders

Categories

4
CRYPTO#1,445,960$-83Vol: $3,624
🏛️ POLITICS#1,437,981$-37Vol: $324
SPORTS#1,488,578$-24Vol: $210
💰 FINANCE#419,495$-0Vol: $40

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-144
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$4,198
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
71
total markets
Trades
280B / 109S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~12d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-144
Vol: $4,198

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
36W / 30L events
Realized PnL
$-144
Win Rate
55%
36W / 30L
Profit Factor
0.81x
Avg Win
$5
Avg Loss
$-7

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $58 (0.4052701105471737% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$26
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET$18
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET$14
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET$10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET$7
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 17, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET$6

Top Losers

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET$-30
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET$-19
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET$-16
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET$-13
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET$-12
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET$-11
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 7, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$-10
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 18, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET$-9

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.202
Sortino
-0.246
HHI
185
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.059
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
7.6%
Top-5 markets
19.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
31.6m
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.73
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
6.7

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 70s — normal for humanCV 1.73 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity2 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal91% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)32.1%
Mid (20-55c)41.1%
High (>55c)26.8%

Sessions

#12
1/18/2026, 10:45:04 PM18 trades$6710 min
1/3/2026, 8:36:37 PM1 trades$640 min
1/13/2026, 7:42:22 PM16 trades$5712 min
1/18/2026, 11:15:26 PM33 trades$5521 min
1/18/2026, 6:11:54 PM10 trades$5513 min
1/15/2026, 8:22:38 PM18 trades$5114 min
7/11/2026, 4:49:56 PM2 trades$500 min
1/13/2026, 8:00:58 PM7 trades$488 min
1/18/2026, 10:00:06 PM17 trades$477 min
7/12/2026, 12:54:25 AM3 trades$394 min
1/17/2026, 9:03:42 PM6 trades$365 min
1/3/2026, 6:36:43 PM2 trades$304 min
1/18/2026, 10:31:06 PM9 trades$289 min
1/17/2026, 8:05:52 PM5 trades$286 min
1/15/2026, 8:08:42 PM10 trades$277 min
7/11/2026, 4:00:10 PM6 trades$260 min
1/18/2026, 8:00:50 PM15 trades$269 min
7/11/2026, 10:42:59 PM1 trades$260 min
1/17/2026, 7:37:02 PM6 trades$259 min
1/17/2026, 9:17:04 PM8 trades$233 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-03
01-07
01-13
01-14
01-15
01-16
01-17
01-18
01-19
07-12

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L32.1 / M41.1 / H26.8