maximalistas

@maximalistas

#212,24183

0xb5c1c9ef8863734087b3b617d69b4fda461bc3a7

~82d· 105 markets · 278 tradesVol: $17,475 @mousasawaed2026-08-05 05:04:48
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

83
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

81% (67/83)20/20
2.04x (win $704 / loss $345)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.66415/15
Sortino 4.19110/10
$+0.0328 per $1 invested1.6/10
HHI 234 (83 markets)10/10
52/64 profitable days (81%)10/10
Max DD 66% of peak ($236 / $360)0.9/10

Badges

4
Sniper
Win rate 81%
Profitable
PnL $+127
Consistent
52/64 profitable days
Win Streak
13 wins in a row

Categories

7
CRYPTO#134,641$44Vol: $9,101
🏛️ POLITICS#691,563$-0Vol: $2,928
SPORTS#139,197$75Vol: $2,010
💰 FINANCE#80,367$4Vol: $1,521
📈 ECONOMICS#62,412$4Vol: $1,256
🌤️ WEATHER#175,915$-0Vol: $609
🎭 CULTURE#285,090$0Vol: $50

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$127
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,475
Total Redeem
$33
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
105
total markets
Trades
168B / 110S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~82d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$8
Vol: $364
Month
$12
Vol: $364
All Time
$127
Vol: $17,475

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
81%
67W / 16L events
Realized PnL
$127
Win Rate
81%
67W / 16L
Profit Factor
2.04x
Avg Win
$11
Avg Loss
$-25

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $376 (2.9664170279858104% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?$147
Will Troy Jackson be the Maine Senate Democratic nominee on July 27?$128
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2025-12-26?$102
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$80
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?$66
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$58
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?$27
Will Bruno Fernandes record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$24
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?$9
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?$9

Top Losers

Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-118
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$-114
Will Switzerland win Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-67
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-15
Will Everton FC win on 2025-12-13?$-14
US government shutdown Saturday?$-6
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-4
Will the highest temperature in London be 11°C on March 29?$-3
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-11-09?$-2
Backpack FDV above $3B one day after launch?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.138
Sortino
0.094
HHI
209
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6%
Top-5 markets
18.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
18/24
Extended
Peak Hour
9:00 UTC
Median Gap
10.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.3h
between trades
Night Trading
1%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.20
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.3

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 609s — normal for humanCV 1.20 — diverse sizes (human-like)1% night trades — normal pattern18/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 9:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.65
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)7.7%
Mid (20-55c)13.7%
High (>55c)78.6%

Sessions

#12
1/18/2026, 10:58:12 AM2 trades$3065 min
6/19/2026, 6:18:20 AM6 trades$3023 min
1/21/2026, 6:16:48 AM1 trades$2980 min
1/2/2026, 6:11:51 PM1 trades$2970 min
1/3/2026, 8:00:05 PM1 trades$2960 min
6/14/2026, 3:05:45 PM8 trades$29311 min
12/27/2025, 5:25:21 PM2 trades$2915 min
1/15/2026, 5:35:02 PM1 trades$2580 min
12/19/2025, 3:55:44 PM1 trades$2580 min
12/21/2025, 11:39:13 AM1 trades$2580 min
1/13/2026, 9:28:59 AM1 trades$2570 min
1/11/2026, 10:54:58 AM1 trades$2560 min
12/15/2025, 12:47:21 PM1 trades$2540 min
12/11/2025, 7:51:01 PM1 trades$2500 min
2/6/2026, 10:57:09 AM1 trades$2500 min
12/13/2025, 2:24:57 PM1 trades$2500 min
12/23/2025, 2:52:51 PM1 trades$2500 min
6/14/2026, 2:30:00 PM5 trades$24510 min
12/10/2025, 5:24:06 PM1 trades$2180 min
12/8/2025, 11:39:11 AM1 trades$2180 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-27
11-21
12-19
01-09
01-27
03-22
06-14

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
39.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.65/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L7.7 / M13.7 / H78.6