@mcphearson99

#2,685,71115

0xedc4e9604396800bac6f5f28958f117b6dd8be57

~41d· 130 markets · 346 tradesVol: $17,4832026-08-04 21:49:56
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

50% (51/102)10/20
0.89x (win $522 / loss $585)1.2/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.0520/15
Sortino -1.6860/10
$-0.0314 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4023 (102 markets)0/10
15/33 profitable days (45%)3.9/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($167 / $0)0/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,574,934$-263Vol: $15,278
🎭 CULTURE#227,367$0Vol: $1,283
SPORTS#220,448$23Vol: $304
💻 TECH#8,269$54Vol: $292
🌤️ WEATHER#238,004$-7Vol: $125
💰 FINANCE#57,750$9Vol: $115
📈 ECONOMICS#79,359$2Vol: $61

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-179
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$17,483
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
130
total markets
Trades
226B / 120S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~41d

Periods

#2
Today
$-19
Vol: $0
Week
$-17
Vol: $500
Month
$-34
Vol: $500
All Time
$-179
Vol: $17,483

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
50%
50W / 51L events
Realized PnL
$-179
Win Rate
50%
50W / 51L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$10
Avg Loss
$-13

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $210 (1.176487030411449% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the next Google Gemini Pro model be released by July 31, 2026?$121
Steve Bannon exonerated by June 30?$55
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?$34
SCOTUS bars counting mail ballots after election day?$26
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?$24
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$19
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30?$17
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by May 31, 2026?$17
Will Pope Leo XIV publish his encyclical by May 15?$16
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 15?$14

Top Losers

Pooh Shiesty charged by May 31?$-44
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-43
Trump declassifies new UFO files by July 31?$-21
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 13 launch by July 31?$-20
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?$-20
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026?$-20
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Benjamin Netanyahu by June 30, 2026?$-20
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in June?$-20
Will Russia enter Vasylivka by July 31, 2026?$-20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-19

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.054
Sortino
-0.095
HHI
146
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.035
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.2%
Top-5 markets
18.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
3:00 UTC
Median Gap
41.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.8h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.85
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 2485s — normal for humanCV 0.86 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock4 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal65% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 3:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.87
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)23.9%
Mid (20-55c)19.9%
High (>55c)56.2%

Sessions

#12
6/29/2026, 10:37:47 PM13 trades$4,1009 min
6/29/2026, 12:24:53 AM14 trades$1,11910 min
6/30/2026, 3:35:52 AM33 trades$3492 min
7/1/2026, 4:03:52 PM6 trades$1970 min
6/19/2026, 3:55:25 AM10 trades$1244 min
6/1/2026, 4:03:54 AM17 trades$1223 min
7/1/2026, 2:42:38 PM7 trades$943 min
7/7/2026, 11:48:11 PM11 trades$912 min
7/24/2026, 4:29:37 PM2 trades$830 min
7/14/2026, 9:26:25 PM2 trades$820 min
6/29/2026, 3:41:49 PM2 trades$690 min
7/23/2026, 7:43:25 PM5 trades$680 min
7/21/2026, 5:53:57 PM1 trades$660 min
7/7/2026, 3:37:04 PM5 trades$520 min
7/3/2026, 2:28:04 AM5 trades$510 min
6/30/2026, 4:15:16 PM9 trades$490 min
7/29/2026, 11:00:54 PM3 trades$460 min
6/29/2026, 3:48:20 PM2 trades$460 min
6/29/2026, 10:57:13 PM4 trades$401 min
7/27/2026, 2:44:15 PM4 trades$400 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
05-06
05-11
05-18
06-24
06-30
07-14
07-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
34.7% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.87/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L23.9 / M19.9 / H56.2