mcphersonjaylan

@mcphersonjaylan

#155,85553

0xc3b90520709ac8404663b5f97171a7e7e3f8ba8f

~34d· 36 markets · 67 tradesVol: $18,2982026-08-05 16:38:14
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

27% (8/30)0/20
2.35x (win $539 / loss $229)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.80515/15
Sortino 8.38210/10
$+0.0264 per $1 invested1.3/10
HHI 1516 (30 markets)4.9/10
8/29 profitable days (28%)0/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($195 / $505)6.3/10

Badges

1
Profitable
PnL $+259

Categories

4
🏛️ POLITICS#1,393,242$-23Vol: $9,313
⚽ SPORTS#74,843$283Vol: $6,530
₿ CRYPTO#791,697$-0Vol: $44
🎭 CULTURE#378,770$-0Vol: $12

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$259
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$18,298
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
36
total markets
Trades
42B / 25S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~34d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $845
All Time
$259
Vol: $18,298

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
27%
8W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$259
Win Rate
27%
8W / 22L
Profit Factor
2.35x
Avg Win
$67
Avg Loss
$-11

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $414 (1.5994899930453599% of PnL)

Top Winners

Mavericks vs. Thunder$188
Bulls vs. Spurs$153
Lakers vs. Heat$73
Penguins vs. Canadiens$54
Rockets vs. Kings$46
Thunder vs. Lakers$22
Warriors vs. Grizzlies$2
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in June?$0

Top Losers

Senators vs. Kraken$-103
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers$-75
Who will speak more at VP Debate?$-16
草莓软糖是男人还是女人 (man or woman)?$-15
Pirates vs. Orioles$-10
Blue Jays vs. Orioles$-4
Democrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$-2
Will Nicolae Ciucă win the 2024 Romanian Presidential election?$-1
Will the Vancouver Canucks win the 2025 President’s Trophy?$-1
Democrats win popular vote by 3-4%?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.196
Sortino
0.386
HHI
11
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.326
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.7%
Top-5 markets
6.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
11:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.5h
between trades
Avg Gap
8.0h
between trades
Night Trading
3%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.42
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.3

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 19622s — normal for humanCV 1.42 — diverse sizes (human-like)3% night trades — normal pattern16/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 11:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.43
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)11.9%
Mid (20-55c)33.3%
High (>55c)54.8%

Sessions

#12
7/30/2026, 8:54:27 PM4 trades$1,8375 min
7/30/2026, 9:58:32 AM4 trades$1,8244 min
7/29/2026, 10:02:45 PM4 trades$1,8133 min
7/29/2026, 3:00:41 PM4 trades$1,8021 min
7/31/2026, 4:29:17 PM2 trades$9250 min
7/28/2026, 7:14:52 PM2 trades$9010 min
7/31/2026, 4:37:48 PM2 trades$8450 min
8/1/2026, 12:05:08 PM2 trades$8450 min
12/10/2024, 2:58:15 PM1 trades$3200 min
12/5/2024, 11:30:02 AM1 trades$1250 min
12/17/2024, 10:42:38 AM1 trades$1030 min
12/4/2024, 1:32:45 PM1 trades$930 min
12/13/2024, 12:35:40 PM2 trades$771 min
12/12/2024, 11:25:10 AM1 trades$590 min
12/2/2024, 11:16:50 AM1 trades$480 min
11/29/2024, 11:52:37 AM1 trades$250 min
10/1/2024, 11:36:16 AM1 trades$160 min
9/30/2024, 11:24:21 AM1 trades$150 min
9/11/2025, 10:05:29 AM1 trades$100 min
4/30/2025, 9:25:03 AM1 trades$60 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
09-30
12-04
12-13
03-13
04-17
05-05
05-13
09-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 273 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
37.3% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.43/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L11.9 / M33.3 / H54.8