mczippo

@mczippo

#3,071,63923

0x17cd48439fad16167a032954c1c3691966327423

~195d· 1234 markets · 3378 tradesVol: $2,107,0232026-08-04 19:59:38
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

45% (555/1232)7.5/20
0.93x (win $389,755 / loss $417,076)1.7/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6630/15
Sortino -0.8780/10
$-0.0363 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 35 (1232 markets)10/10
85/194 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 392% of peak ($49,094 / $12,515)0/10

Badges

4
Contrarian
67% entries < $0.55
Whale
$752,829 invested
High Roller
$3,111/day
Win Streak
8 wins in a row

Categories

1
SPORTS#1,871,729$-4,287Vol: $631,768

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-47,289
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,107,023
Total Redeem
$75,802
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
1234
total markets
Trades
2391B / 987S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~195d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
45%
555W / 677L events
Realized PnL
$-47,289
Win Rate
45%
555W / 677L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$702
Avg Loss
$-623

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $28,606 (0.6049191847613585% of PnL)

Top Winners

Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5)$12,635
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 214.5$8,191
Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Group Stage$7,779
LoL: Ultra Prime vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvana$7,766
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$6,455
Lakers vs. Rockets$6,390
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5)$6,120
Counter-Strike: OG vs BESTIA (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs$5,922
Will CA Tigre win on 2026-04-07?$5,288
Timberwolves vs. Jazz$5,220

Top Losers

Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 12.5 Total Corners$-20,358
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$-13,826
Spread: Santos FC (-1.5)$-7,936
Magic vs. Pistons$-7,178
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffs$-6,520
Switzerland vs. Canada: Both Teams to Score in Second Half$-6,485
Counter-Strike: B8 vs BC.Game Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A$-6,475
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Paper Rex - Map 1 Winner$-6,188
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TYLOO (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group A$-5,399
Valorant: XLG Gaming vs Leviatán Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Playoffs$-5,295

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.035
Sortino
-0.041
HHI
34
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.036
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.8%
Top-5 markets
7.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
14.0
Active
Markets / Day
5.1
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
6.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.7h
between trades
Night Trading
25%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.94
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.6

Bot Detection

#6
25
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 404s — normal for humanCV 1.94 — diverse sizes (human-like)25% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity14 trades/day — very active5.1 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 7:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.74
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)8.2%
Mid (20-55c)58.8%
High (>55c)33%

Sessions

#12
5/3/2026, 5:00:34 PM2 trades$13,8040 min
6/13/2026, 4:00:55 PM8 trades$12,2642 min
4/24/2026, 2:07:42 PM10 trades$10,0352 min
5/3/2026, 2:21:36 AM3 trades$9,4770 min
6/16/2026, 1:55:14 PM2 trades$8,8250 min
7/19/2026, 1:30:57 PM33 trades$8,36225 min
1/4/2026, 12:34:39 PM1 trades$8,1000 min
6/6/2026, 1:49:07 AM8 trades$7,8940 min
1/5/2026, 1:15:11 AM5 trades$7,56610 min
5/26/2026, 11:41:59 PM4 trades$7,4871 min
2/25/2026, 5:56:34 AM3 trades$7,2841 min
11/27/2025, 1:17:03 PM2 trades$7,1771 min
1/25/2026, 7:06:18 AM2 trades$7,0613 min
6/6/2026, 7:39:24 AM2 trades$6,9540 min
1/25/2026, 7:18:32 AM1 trades$6,8130 min
5/9/2026, 4:56:25 AM4 trades$6,4592 min
7/9/2026, 9:58:59 AM8 trades$6,3480 min
3/15/2026, 12:53:07 AM6 trades$6,1884 min
6/10/2026, 1:57:00 PM6 trades$6,1610 min
4/24/2026, 1:38:16 PM7 trades$6,1595 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-20
12-26
01-27
03-04
04-23
06-05
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 57 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.2% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.74/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L8.2 / M58.8 / H33