@mengduo
#2,966,99450xb1d68b28f52a94382594968ca61cbf7071cd5e06
~32d· 75 markets · 636 tradesVol: $103,7012026-08-04 21:05:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
5
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
34% (23/67)2.2/20
0.89x (win $1,610 / loss $1,817)1.1/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8860/15
Sortino -1.1670/10
$-0.0170 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3392 (67 markets)0/10
9/25 profitable days (36%)1.5/10
Max DD 180% of peak ($1,183 / $657)0/10
Categories
6⚽ SPORTS#1,841,424$-1,381Vol: $51,598
📈 ECONOMICS#660,705$-103Vol: $27,133
🏛️ POLITICS#94,176$46Vol: $24,314
💰 FINANCE#435,453$-1Vol: $72
🎭 CULTURE#433,908$-0Vol: $10
₿ CRYPTO#481,612$0Vol: $3
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-1,468
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$103,701
Total Redeem
$12
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
75
total markets
Trades
310B / 326S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~32d
Periods
#2Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $10
All Time
$-1,468
Vol: $103,701
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
34%
23W / 44L events
Realized PnL
$-1,468
Win Rate
34%
23W / 44L
Profit Factor
0.89x
Avg Win
$70
Avg Loss
$-55
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $765 (0.5211297356227855% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?$313
Will Egypt win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$231
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$221
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?$159
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$142
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?$123
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-25?$108
Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$92
Will Colombia win on 2026-06-17?$54
Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$43
Top Losers
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?$-402
Will France win on 2026-06-16?$-200
Will Norway win on 2026-06-16?$-140
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-18?$-120
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-14?$-100
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13?$-80
Will Canada win on 2026-06-18?$-80
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?$-80
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19?$-75
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner$-70
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.045
Sortino
-0.053
HHI
1301
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.014
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.6%
Top-5 markets
68.2%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.6
Active Hours
16/24
Extended
Peak Hour
15:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.2h
between trades
Night Trading
21%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.23
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4
Bot Detection
#65
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 72s — normal for humanCV 4.23 — diverse sizes (human-like)21% night trades — unusual hours16/24 hours — normal schedule5 trades/day — normal0.6 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 15:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
15.12
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)13.2%
Mid (20-55c)22.9%
High (>55c)63.9%
Sessions
#126/17/2026, 3:36:35 PM2 trades$20,0000 min
6/21/2026, 4:24:50 PM2 trades$2,6750 min
6/21/2026, 4:13:58 PM3 trades$2,5060 min
6/21/2026, 4:52:34 AM3 trades$2,4000 min
6/28/2026, 8:28:17 AM8 trades$2,4002 min
6/21/2026, 1:01:17 AM7 trades$1,8850 min
7/22/2026, 3:55:55 PM10 trades$1,3472 min
6/21/2026, 2:45:50 AM2 trades$1,2420 min
6/22/2026, 2:44:11 AM31 trades$8151 min
6/22/2026, 1:19:31 AM10 trades$8100 min
5/23/2026, 12:01:11 AM2 trades$7120 min
6/16/2026, 4:17:10 AM6 trades$5692 min
6/18/2026, 12:18:16 PM8 trades$3671 min
6/20/2026, 3:43:02 AM7 trades$3650 min
6/28/2026, 1:15:38 AM13 trades$3624 min
6/17/2026, 1:46:08 AM8 trades$3602 min
5/23/2026, 12:12:29 AM9 trades$3350 min
6/14/2026, 10:23:36 AM6 trades$3271 min
6/13/2026, 2:31:57 PM8 trades$2902 min
5/14/2026, 4:56:11 AM2 trades$2630 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-22
04-20
04-28
06-13
06-17
06-21
07-22
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 4 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
51.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 15.12/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.2 / M22.9 / H63.9