@merlen

#15,97264

0x8262124952d88cb9b87e6060d9959ef002b0edde

~199d· 266 markets · 2367 tradesVol: $464,356 @merezanij2026-08-05 15:50:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

64
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (100/231)6.6/20
1.46x (win $28,862 / loss $19,827)8.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.74715/15
Sortino 4.13410/10
$+0.0800 per $1 invested4/10
HHI 146 (231 markets)10/10
62/123 profitable days (50%)5.1/10
Max DD 45% of peak ($4,304 / $9,501)4.9/10

Badges

6
Profitable
PnL $+9,159
Lottery Player
37% entries < $0.20
Whale
$112,897 invested
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
73% maker orders

Categories

7
CRYPTO#5,716$8,796Vol: $403,625
SPORTS#64,916$374Vol: $23,493
🏛️ POLITICS#149,960$14Vol: $13,113
📈 ECONOMICS#640,663$-34Vol: $10,180
🎭 CULTURE#745,627$-30Vol: $9,032
💰 FINANCE#622,024$-58Vol: $2,228
🌤️ WEATHER#191,081$-1Vol: $1,050

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$9,130
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$464,356
Total Redeem
$25
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
266
total markets
Trades
1517B / 850S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~199d

Periods

#2
Today
$-72
Vol: $1,099
Week
$144
Vol: $7,211
Month
$242
Vol: $8,561
All Time
$9,130
Vol: $464,356

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
100W / 131L events
Realized PnL
$9,159
Win Rate
43%
100W / 131L
Profit Factor
1.46x
Avg Win
$289
Avg Loss
$-169

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9,063 (0.9895067713041693% of PnL)

Top Winners

Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?$4,400
USD.AI FDV above $500M one day after launch?$2,400
Billions FDV above $200M one day after launch?$2,263
USD.AI FDV above $800M one day after launch?$2,149
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?$1,370
o1 FDV above $300M one day after launch?$1,127
EdgeX FDV above $500M one day after launch?$1,086
o1 FDV above $200M one day after launch?$1,023
GRVT FDV above $250M one day after launch?$1,001
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?$786

Top Losers

Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?$-2,262
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?$-1,924
Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-1,293
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-961
Citrea FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-728
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-718
Will Senegal advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-657
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$-603
Nexus FDV above $300M one day after launch?$-594
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?$-594

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.091
Sortino
0.173
HHI
108
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.093
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.3%
Top-5 markets
13.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.9
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
12:00 UTC
Median Gap
14.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.1h
between trades
Night Trading
11%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.02
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 853s — normal for humanCV 2.02 — diverse sizes (human-like)11% night trades — normal pattern24/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal0.9 markets/day — normal73% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 12:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9.03
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)36.9%
Mid (20-55c)31.7%
High (>55c)31.4%

Sessions

#12
4/21/2026, 12:20:24 PM14 trades$4,2637 min
4/30/2026, 7:06:20 AM14 trades$3,6825 min
4/30/2026, 11:09:04 AM9 trades$3,3466 min
3/31/2026, 12:57:29 PM5 trades$2,5878 min
6/2/2026, 5:20:11 AM5 trades$2,0850 min
11/17/2025, 7:28:13 AM4 trades$1,9501 min
4/27/2026, 1:40:00 PM13 trades$1,9206 min
2/26/2026, 2:21:52 PM8 trades$1,8767 min
11/15/2025, 8:59:44 AM4 trades$1,8694 min
4/21/2026, 6:08:22 PM1 trades$1,8630 min
7/18/2026, 7:01:40 AM2 trades$1,8610 min
4/30/2026, 8:47:00 AM8 trades$1,7646 min
6/17/2026, 4:57:41 PM1 trades$1,7170 min
6/17/2026, 6:02:17 PM1 trades$1,6880 min
4/22/2026, 5:53:40 AM13 trades$1,5794 min
4/23/2026, 2:58:26 PM9 trades$1,5259 min
4/30/2026, 5:09:56 PM9 trades$1,4976 min
11/6/2025, 11:36:29 AM4 trades$1,4887 min
5/1/2026, 8:58:58 AM13 trades$1,48211 min
2/4/2026, 3:18:36 PM2 trades$1,4403 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-26
12-11
01-13
02-20
04-04
05-21
07-30

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 11 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35.9% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9.03/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L36.9 / M31.7 / H31.4