@mesitica
#75,122360x674f269ae33c4f541f8784b5cd8c86891bd66888
~58d· 74 markets · 245 tradesVol: $89,7742026-08-04 16:20:22
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
36
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
77% (50/65)20/20
0.20x (win $2,089 / loss $10,463)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.4060/15
Sortino -2.4090/10
$-0.2492 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1308 (65 markets)6/10
32/41 profitable days (78%)10/10
Max DD 661% of peak ($10,373 / $1,570)0/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 77%
Profitable
PnL $+1,145
Consistent
32/41 profitable days
Win Streak
10 wins in a row
Categories
8🏛️ POLITICS#19,643$864Vol: $51,459
⚽ SPORTS#378,619$3Vol: $14,934
💰 FINANCE#10,339$272Vol: $12,828
📈 ECONOMICS#566,204$-5Vol: $9,833
₿ CRYPTO#324,762$3Vol: $405
🎭 CULTURE#88,022$5Vol: $258
💻 TECH#35,842$2Vol: $41
🌤️ WEATHER#109,679$0Vol: $16
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,145
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$89,774
Total Redeem
$42
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
74
total markets
Trades
98B / 147S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~58d
Periods
#2Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $4
Month
$-0
Vol: $4
All Time
$1,145
Vol: $89,774
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
77%
50W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$1,145
Win Rate
77%
50W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.2x
Avg Win
$42
Avg Loss
$-951
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,820 (1.590408289865709% of PnL)
Top Winners
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1,302
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?$452
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?$67
Will Google have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?$50
Iran leadership change by May 31?$39
Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?$26
Over $5M committed to the Infinex public sale?$20
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?$16
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?$14
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?$12
Top Losers
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-10,374
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-16
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $-15
Will the Cleveland Browns win Super Bowl 2026?$-12
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$-10
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$-5
Will the Logan Paul 1st Edition Charizard sale price be over 700k?$-2
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?$-0
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-0
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.124
Sortino
-0.052
HHI
804
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.311
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.9%
Top-5 markets
57.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
0.9
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
15/24
Extended
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
28s
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
38%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.91
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.5
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 28s — normal for humanCV 1.91 — diverse sizes (human-like)38% night trades — never sleeps15/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
3.31
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)5.1%
Mid (20-55c)3.1%
High (>55c)91.8%
Sessions
#126/6/2026, 7:21:22 AM4 trades$7,9700 min
6/24/2026, 10:15:32 AM31 trades$6,4874 min
6/13/2026, 7:39:31 AM10 trades$6,0003 min
6/2/2026, 7:15:54 AM4 trades$5,0270 min
7/6/2026, 2:04:29 AM6 trades$4,0000 min
5/19/2026, 7:21:10 AM4 trades$3,9230 min
5/14/2026, 6:47:11 AM5 trades$3,6261 min
5/27/2026, 5:37:48 AM2 trades$2,5040 min
5/24/2026, 3:58:34 AM16 trades$1,8560 min
5/11/2026, 7:21:58 AM8 trades$1,5071 min
7/2/2026, 1:00:08 AM5 trades$1,4890 min
5/16/2026, 9:29:16 AM4 trades$1,3362 min
6/15/2026, 1:15:45 AM6 trades$1,2970 min
6/28/2026, 5:24:05 AM3 trades$6500 min
6/15/2026, 3:31:25 AM6 trades$5910 min
5/22/2026, 5:19:47 AM8 trades$5430 min
6/24/2026, 11:07:38 PM7 trades$3300 min
6/28/2026, 12:31:14 AM3 trades$2560 min
6/28/2026, 1:36:38 AM5 trades$2160 min
4/28/2026, 6:27:44 AM6 trades$1892 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-20
11-30
01-03
02-15
04-11
05-16
06-13
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 10 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
60% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.31/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5.1 / M3.1 / H91.8