meteoblue

@meteoblue

#9,56354

0xf73f7e9c6bd1f40dc045d2a93bec3dd4248aee53

~88d· 2100 markets · 22730 tradesVol: $2,840,4952026-08-04 16:19:11
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

54
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

35% (730/2083)2.5/20
1.39x (win $163,340 / loss $117,720)7.3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.84515/15
Sortino 3.13110/10
$+0.1227 per $1 invested6.1/10
HHI 970 (2083 markets)7.7/10
27/82 profitable days (33%)0.7/10
Max DD 47% of peak ($37,295 / $80,027)4.7/10

Badges

7
Profitable
PnL $+16,004
Lottery Player
60% entries < $0.20
Whale
$371,931 invested
High Roller
$3,542/day
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
90% maker orders

Categories

6
🌤️ WEATHER#1,351$1,275Vol: $1,941,229
🏛️ POLITICS#3,989$9,411Vol: $474,499
SPORTS#35,456$1,106Vol: $337,761
📈 ECONOMICS#1,191$4,211Vol: $78,000
📢 MENTIONS#5,579$114Vol: $5,720
💰 FINANCE#604,827$-26Vol: $3,283

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$16,093
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$2,840,495
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
2100
total markets
Trades
20322B / 2408S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~88d

Periods

#2
Today
$-58
Vol: $16,089
Week
$398
Vol: $50,454
Month
$-1,837
Vol: $67,508
All Time
$16,093
Vol: $2,840,495

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
35%
730W / 1353L events
Realized PnL
$16,004
Win Rate
35%
730W / 1353L
Profit Factor
1.39x
Avg Win
$224
Avg Loss
$-88

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $115,490 (7.21646529681849% of PnL)

Top Winners

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$109,969
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 25?$2,811
Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on June 21?$2,710
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?$2,243
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on May 10?$1,460
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?$1,274
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 29?$1,271
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on June 29?$1,218
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$1,180
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 19°C on April 27?$1,148

Top Losers

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?$-22,529
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-16,424
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-13,177
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?$-3,189
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?$-2,705
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?$-2,092
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?$-1,726
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?$-1,315
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 9?$-1,202
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$-1,151

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.044
Sortino
0.142
HHI
1501
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.104
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
35.3%
Top-5 markets
62.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
216.5
Very active
Markets / Day
20.0
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
7.2m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
9.99
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
13 min
Avg Trades / Session
28.7

Bot Detection

#6
85
BOT (automated trading)HIGH probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
HIGH
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 61s — normal for humanCV 9.99 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock216 trades/day — automation20 markets/day — mass coverage90% maker — systematic market making

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
11.02
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)59.6%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)23.4%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 10:54:42 PM5 trades$21,8324 min
7/4/2026, 4:37:44 AM4 trades$20,0002 min
7/6/2026, 9:15:32 PM58 trades$17,3297 min
6/13/2026, 8:38:04 PM49 trades$16,77616 min
6/14/2026, 11:30:22 PM2 trades$16,4000 min
6/21/2026, 9:10:28 AM13 trades$14,0664 min
7/6/2026, 9:32:46 PM12 trades$10,4360 min
6/23/2026, 6:50:31 PM8 trades$10,1630 min
6/17/2026, 4:18:47 AM2 trades$9,9800 min
6/19/2026, 9:02:23 PM34 trades$9,91418 min
7/9/2026, 7:22:29 AM17 trades$8,9061 min
6/23/2026, 11:29:40 PM16 trades$8,4264 min
7/6/2026, 10:39:29 PM2 trades$8,4000 min
6/14/2026, 9:42:09 PM21 trades$6,8418 min
6/14/2026, 9:57:36 PM7 trades$6,7598 min
6/19/2026, 1:35:20 AM11 trades$6,7514 min
6/7/2026, 9:51:37 PM103 trades$6,73328 min
6/20/2026, 1:56:23 AM154 trades$6,649111 min
6/16/2026, 12:38:40 AM111 trades$6,64526 min
6/13/2026, 5:41:07 PM4 trades$6,0182 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-22
05-05
05-28
06-14
06-28
07-16
07-31

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
52% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
10.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 11.02/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L59.6 / M17 / H23.4