@michaelconner

#1,730,34611

0x76e61ec1e6f2acab26b12b04ed09bca0af1ec56c

~39d· 70 markets · 164 tradesVol: $16,2622026-08-05 17:27:02
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

11
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

36% (25/70)2.9/20
0.58x (win $10 / loss $17)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.5510/15
Sortino -3.3450/10
$-0.0010 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1676 (70 markets)4.1/10
17/38 profitable days (45%)3.7/10
Max DD 364% of peak ($11 / $3)0/10

Badges

1
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#1,167,644$-4Vol: $15,854
💰 FINANCE#198,261$0Vol: $97
₿ CRYPTO#878,110$-1Vol: $52
🎭 CULTURE#326,021$0Vol: $6
🏛️ POLITICS#545,069$0Vol: $5
🌤️ WEATHER#149,652$0Vol: $1

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-7
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$16,262
Total Redeem
$15
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
70
total markets
Trades
95B / 69S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~39d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-7
Vol: $16,262

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
36%
25W / 45L events
Realized PnL
$-7
Win Rate
36%
25W / 45L
Profit Factor
0.57x
Avg Win
$0
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $9 (1.2279511533242877% of PnL)

Top Winners

Packers vs. Vikings$7
Grizzlies vs. Suns$1
Kai and Speed win Fortnite before Sunday?$0
Bears vs. Packers$0
Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $312 in June?$0
Will Solana dip to $120 in October?$0
Miami (OH) vs. Colorado State$0
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $230 end of November?$0
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $210 end of April?$0
Will Bitcoin dip to $80k in May?$0

Top Losers

Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2024 World Blitz Championship?$-3
Will Kai and Speed win Fortnite in 250+ tries?$-3
Will the Washington Wizards win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-2
Will Levante win the 2025–26 La Liga?$-2
Will ETHBTC be less than .028 on February 7?$-1
Will the Brooklyn Nets win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Trail Blazers vs. Lakers$-1
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?$-1

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.132
Sortino
-0.108
HHI
1646
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.001
Kelly %
32.3%
Half-Kelly
16.2%
Top-1 market
23.4%
Top-5 markets
82.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
5.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.8h
between trades
Night Trading
34%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.48
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
2.2

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 342s — normal for humanCV 3.48 — diverse sizes (human-like)34% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal45% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.34
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.1%
Mid (20-55c)33.7%
High (>55c)65.3%

Sessions

#12
11/16/2025, 5:42:11 PM1 trades$1,8200 min
11/16/2025, 5:56:43 PM1 trades$1,8180 min
2/22/2025, 9:23:14 AM1 trades$9370 min
2/22/2025, 11:04:53 AM1 trades$9360 min
2/22/2025, 3:14:06 AM1 trades$9250 min
2/22/2025, 3:42:24 AM1 trades$9240 min
2/22/2025, 5:49:04 AM1 trades$9120 min
2/22/2025, 7:20:28 AM1 trades$9110 min
2/21/2025, 4:01:00 PM1 trades$9090 min
2/22/2025, 12:50:50 AM1 trades$9080 min
2/22/2025, 4:20:27 AM1 trades$9050 min
2/22/2025, 5:33:06 AM1 trades$9040 min
2/22/2025, 8:14:54 AM1 trades$8920 min
2/22/2025, 8:21:06 AM1 trades$8910 min
1/2/2025, 5:11:02 AM15 trades$958 min
12/28/2024, 2:33:34 AM7 trades$455 min
12/29/2024, 6:47:04 AM5 trades$436 min
12/28/2024, 9:56:00 PM3 trades$333 min
5/23/2026, 3:43:50 PM2 trades$330 min
12/27/2024, 7:12:14 AM2 trades$312 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-26
01-01
01-16
02-22
04-26
10-20
05-25

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 321 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42.1% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.34/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.1 / M33.7 / H65.3