@michaellseller

#108,94629

0x16d8b03498ef8ac1237c82eaf25fde5f7e5d698b

~19d· 65 markets · 1128 tradesVol: $110,1712026-08-04 22:09:39
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

29
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (32/57)13.1/20
0.48x (win $2,703 / loss $5,687)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.8570/15
Sortino -3.9330/10
$-0.1136 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 671 (57 markets)9.1/10
11/19 profitable days (58%)7/10
Max DD 1179% of peak ($3,261 / $277)0/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+571
DCA Master
Avg 17.7 entries/market
High Roller
$1,383/day
Win Streak
10 wins in a row

Categories

9
⚽ SPORTS#30,163$1,407Vol: $67,129
₿ CRYPTO#70,331$172Vol: $12,813
🏛️ POLITICS#1,483,845$-61Vol: $11,965
💰 FINANCE#5,916$602Vol: $8,689
🎭 CULTURE#807,769$-637Vol: $4,954
🌤️ WEATHER#297,342$-920Vol: $2,577
📢 MENTIONS#21,076$8Vol: $1,022
📈 ECONOMICS#552,213$-4Vol: $700
💻 TECH#29,943$3Vol: $323

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$571
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$110,171
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
65
total markets
Trades
424B / 704S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~19d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$571
Vol: $110,171

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
54%
31W / 26L events
Realized PnL
$571
Win Rate
54%
31W / 26L
Profit Factor
0.48x
Avg Win
$84
Avg Loss
$-284

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $949 (1.6616434759779466% of PnL)

Top Winners

Swiss Open: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Jaume Munar$367
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 13?$309
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?$273
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 15?$213
Will Marta Kostyuk be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$203
O/U 2.5 Rounds$144
Swiss Open: Pedro Martinez vs Yannick Hanfmann$125
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?$121
UFC 329: Paddy Pimblett vs. Benoît Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)$117
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?$104

Top Losers

Pozoblanco: Chris Rodesch vs Oliver Crawford$-2,391
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?$-1,950
Will Linda Nosková be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-341
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-299
Will Karolína Muchová be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-277
Jude Bellingham: 3+ shots$-82
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-76
Will Trump accuse Venezuela of election interference by July 16?$-44
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?$-42
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during Speech to the Nation?$-40

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.197
Sortino
-0.151
HHI
691
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.122
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
21.1%
Top-5 markets
44.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
59.4
Very active
Markets / Day
3.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.9m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.1h
between trades
Night Trading
29%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
13.3

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 113s — normal for humanCV 1.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)29% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity59 trades/day — mass trading3.4 markets/day — normal38% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
17.74
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)5%
Mid (20-55c)17%
High (>55c)78.1%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 1:15:19 AM86 trades$3,73626 min
7/13/2026, 9:11:34 PM58 trades$3,6948 min
7/6/2026, 10:33:50 PM6 trades$1,8961 min
7/16/2026, 2:50:41 AM26 trades$1,8253 min
7/17/2026, 4:01:36 AM9 trades$1,7160 min
7/3/2026, 2:39:59 AM11 trades$1,5309 min
7/14/2026, 12:41:58 PM6 trades$1,3662 min
6/29/2026, 10:58:08 AM11 trades$1,1681 min
7/15/2026, 12:15:46 AM40 trades$1,12314 min
7/7/2026, 3:52:13 PM6 trades$1,0571 min
7/17/2026, 8:11:21 PM22 trades$97910 min
7/15/2026, 6:52:17 PM12 trades$9333 min
7/14/2026, 9:03:05 AM12 trades$8481 min
7/10/2026, 9:42:26 PM12 trades$7373 min
7/8/2026, 2:06:04 AM23 trades$6654 min
7/17/2026, 7:42:00 PM13 trades$6326 min
7/17/2026, 7:54:19 PM17 trades$6114 min
7/9/2026, 5:09:43 PM5 trades$6050 min
7/13/2026, 1:11:37 PM20 trades$6039 min
7/3/2026, 8:48:19 PM8 trades$5953 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-29
07-02
07-05
07-08
07-11
07-14
07-17

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 12 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
2% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 17.74/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L5 / M17 / H78.1