
@michi1
#5,892930xa89518aca5a633a79ad1e9737209c9689f83faac
~123d· 634 markets · 4939 tradesVol: $997,5662026-08-04 21:04:45
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
93
Elite
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
62% (395/633)16.2/20
2.83x (win $26,111 / loss $9,237)15/15
Annualised Sharpe 6.09715/15
Sortino 20.67710/10
$+0.1330 per $1 invested6.6/10
HHI 67 (633 markets)10/10
82/118 profitable days (69%)9.9/10
Max DD 10% of peak ($1,728 / $16,936)10/10
Badges
10Sniper
Win rate 62%
Profitable
PnL $+28,107
Lottery Player
42% entries < $0.20
DCA Master
Avg 7.8 entries/market
Whale
$126,892 invested
Consistent
82/118 profitable days
Cool Head
Max DD 10%
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders
Categories
6🌤️ WEATHER#54$26,817Vol: $599,608
🏛️ POLITICS#1,555,316$-177Vol: $220,721
₿ CRYPTO#25,527$1,392Vol: $128,868
💰 FINANCE#636,524$-126Vol: $31,560
🎭 CULTURE#9,237$389Vol: $14,408
⚽ SPORTS#1,733,930$-187Vol: $2,400
Overview
#1Net PnL
$28,107
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$997,566
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
634
total markets
Trades
3417B / 1522S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~123d
Periods
#2Today
$2
Vol: $1,190
Week
$-4
Vol: $17,232
Month
$23
Vol: $25,233
All Time
$28,107
Vol: $997,566
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
62%
395W / 238L events
Realized PnL
$28,107
Win Rate
62%
395W / 238L
Profit Factor
2.83x
Avg Win
$66
Avg Loss
$-40
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,740 (0.204223255013034% of PnL)
Top Winners
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on March 28?$2,032
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C or higher on May 1?$1,934
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on May 12?$1,775
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 11?$1,676
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?$1,283
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 11?$1,092
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 12°C on April 30?$962
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 4?$690
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 2-3°F on January 23?$689
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 19, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET$623
Top Losers
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 1?$-1,052
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?$-952
Will Bitcoin dip to $86,000 January 19-25?$-504
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 1?$-502
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in March?$-480
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March?$-469
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET$-291
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 February 23-March 1?$-215
Will Alex Honnold free solo Taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes?$-187
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 16, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET$-173
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.318
Sortino
0.698
HHI
71
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.135
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
2.9%
Top-5 markets
9.8%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
24.6
Active
Markets / Day
3.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
7:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.1m
between trades
Night Trading
26%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.33
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
7.9
Bot Detection
#650
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 122s — normal for humanCV 3.33 — diverse sizes (human-like)26% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock25 trades/day — high frequency3.2 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 7:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
7.83
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)42.2%
Mid (20-55c)8.4%
High (>55c)49.4%
Sessions
#126/11/2026, 8:38:33 AM6 trades$4,1442 min
6/15/2026, 1:52:34 PM38 trades$3,03513 min
6/15/2026, 2:38:09 PM34 trades$2,63715 min
2/2/2026, 2:20:26 PM4 trades$2,2332 min
2/18/2026, 5:08:16 AM1 trades$2,1400 min
2/18/2026, 5:35:24 AM1 trades$2,1380 min
2/24/2026, 2:46:04 AM3 trades$1,9932 min
6/7/2026, 7:46:16 AM2 trades$1,9570 min
2/10/2026, 7:02:57 AM2 trades$1,9292 min
3/28/2026, 12:01:01 PM2 trades$1,8810 min
2/6/2026, 3:59:19 PM13 trades$1,4631 min
6/21/2026, 4:06:41 PM24 trades$1,4338 min
2/6/2026, 3:50:33 AM1 trades$1,4090 min
1/25/2026, 6:08:42 AM5 trades$1,3676 min
5/12/2026, 3:31:55 AM3 trades$1,3635 min
2/6/2026, 12:14:41 AM3 trades$1,3410 min
6/16/2026, 1:52:32 PM6 trades$1,2960 min
2/27/2026, 1:49:42 AM3 trades$1,2662 min
2/2/2026, 12:19:48 PM1 trades$1,2550 min
6/11/2026, 7:58:07 AM21 trades$1,2268 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-15
02-06
02-26
03-19
04-26
06-03
07-11
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 5 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
50% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
30.8% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 7.83/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L42.2 / M8.4 / H49.4