@mightymighty

#2,571,47421

0xb65a4438c4fca23d35c3934be6bce50fd007b3ae

~21d· 142 markets · 385 tradesVol: $13,6692026-08-04 17:21:44
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (32/70)7.9/20
0.38x (win $226 / loss $600)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -7.5970/15
Sortino -7.1630/10
$-0.1248 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 427 (70 markets)10/10
7/17 profitable days (41%)2.8/10
Max DD 4674% of peak ($412 / $9)0/10

Badges

1
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

1
CRYPTO#1,477,996$-105Vol: $13,669

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-105
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$13,669
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
142
total markets
Trades
244B / 141S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~21d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$4
Vol: $0
All Time
$-105
Vol: $13,669

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
32W / 38L events
Realized PnL
$-105
Win Rate
46%
32W / 38L
Profit Factor
0.38x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-16

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $118 (1.1188937464360387% of PnL)

Top Winners

Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?$89
Sentio FDV above $100M one day after launch?$15
Opinion FDV above $800M one day after launch?$14
Fluent FDV above $20M one day after launch?$14
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?$11
Hyperlend FDV above $50M one day after launch?$10
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?$9
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?$8
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?$8
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?$8

Top Losers

USD.AI FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-60
Hyperlend FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-50
Flying Tulip FDV above $800M one day after launch?$-30
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?$-30
USD.AI FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-30
Fluent FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-28
Sentio FDV above $50M one day after launch?$-28
Gensyn FDV above $200M one day after launch?$-28
Sentio FDV above $20M one day after launch?$-28
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?$-28

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.386
Sortino
-0.340
HHI
38
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.335
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.9%
Top-5 markets
8.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
13/24
Extended
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
46s
between trades
Avg Gap
31.0m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.89
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
37
Avg Duration
7 min
Avg Trades / Session
10.4

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
MEDIUM
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 46s — normal for humanCV 0.89 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps13/24 hours — normal schedule2 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal17% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.93
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.9%
Mid (20-55c)25.8%
High (>55c)60.2%

Sessions

#12
4/13/2026, 5:16:29 AM48 trades$93128 min
2/7/2026, 10:33:07 AM28 trades$92024 min
7/28/2026, 2:26:46 PM80 trades$88814 min
3/7/2026, 11:02:05 AM21 trades$4009 min
3/7/2026, 10:30:43 AM6 trades$3056 min
2/7/2026, 4:53:53 PM8 trades$2408 min
4/3/2026, 5:18:11 AM20 trades$2189 min
4/3/2026, 5:37:09 AM14 trades$1498 min
3/7/2026, 10:16:19 AM4 trades$1456 min
3/12/2026, 6:39:03 AM10 trades$1284 min
3/25/2026, 6:01:49 AM7 trades$1059 min
3/17/2026, 7:08:17 AM9 trades$926 min
3/24/2026, 7:32:07 AM6 trades$909 min
3/22/2026, 2:24:45 PM5 trades$853 min
2/7/2026, 4:45:45 PM3 trades$832 min
3/7/2026, 11:19:11 AM9 trades$815 min
3/12/2026, 6:48:05 AM8 trades$805 min
3/9/2026, 5:36:37 AM7 trades$708 min
3/9/2026, 5:41:29 PM6 trades$605 min
3/10/2026, 5:50:51 AM6 trades$605 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-21
02-07
03-07
03-10
03-17
03-24
04-01
04-13
04-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 37 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.6% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.93/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.9 / M25.8 / H60.2