@miguel03
#58,298760x803f5027e592523b51fd1aa8c509991d7c4bf6ed
~27d· 27 markets · 179 tradesVol: $51,0032026-08-05 01:01:00
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
76
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
61% (14/23)15.4/20
1.70x (win $5,943 / loss $3,496)11.2/15
Annualised Sharpe 3.98315/15
Sortino 6.51610/10
$+0.0836 per $1 invested4.2/10
HHI 1415 (23 markets)5.4/10
12/19 profitable days (63%)8.3/10
Max DD 39% of peak ($1,065 / $2,728)6.2/10
Badges
4Sniper
Win rate 61%
Profitable
PnL $+1,723
DCA Master
Avg 8.6 entries/market
Consistent
12/19 profitable days
Categories
2🏛️ POLITICS#13,207$1,625Vol: $50,803
⚽ SPORTS#122,590$98Vol: $200
Overview
#1Net PnL
$1,723
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$51,003
Total Redeem
$1,800
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
27
total markets
Trades
105B / 74S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~27d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
61%
14W / 9L events
Realized PnL
$1,723
Win Rate
61%
14W / 9L
Profit Factor
1.7x
Avg Win
$425
Avg Loss
$-388
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,956 (1.7156925898199247% of PnL)
Top Winners
US forces enter Iran by March 31?$1,512
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?$787
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?$658
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?$604
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?$601
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$598
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?$306
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?$269
Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?$204
Starmer out by March 31, 2026?$150
Top Losers
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$-979
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?$-880
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?$-750
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?$-301
US government shutdown Saturday?$-301
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$-138
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?$-83
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?$-41
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?$-24
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
0.203
Sortino
0.315
HHI
1338
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.080
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
27.1%
Top-5 markets
66.1%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.0
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
20/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
17:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
46.6m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.60
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5
Bot Detection
#610
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 180s — normal for humanCV 1.60 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours20/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal55% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 17:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
8.61
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)4.8%
Mid (20-55c)21.9%
High (>55c)73.3%
Sessions
#121/26/2026, 1:09:51 PM2 trades$4,3401 min
7/10/2026, 5:38:13 PM10 trades$4,0219 min
5/6/2026, 4:46:16 PM3 trades$4,0130 min
5/6/2026, 5:45:41 PM6 trades$3,6310 min
4/16/2026, 4:21:02 AM5 trades$2,7961 min
5/12/2026, 11:01:28 PM8 trades$2,7103 min
4/13/2026, 3:54:25 PM4 trades$1,9861 min
1/10/2026, 9:50:20 AM3 trades$1,9657 min
2/22/2026, 4:11:34 PM3 trades$1,6595 min
4/19/2026, 7:55:10 PM6 trades$1,4080 min
5/7/2026, 10:07:44 PM7 trades$1,4018 min
3/5/2026, 12:00:57 PM1 trades$1,2310 min
3/5/2026, 12:12:59 PM5 trades$1,1990 min
5/13/2026, 11:36:30 AM6 trades$1,1770 min
3/9/2026, 1:47:45 AM4 trades$1,0444 min
6/2/2026, 3:00:12 PM9 trades$1,0154 min
4/7/2026, 10:47:53 PM7 trades$8890 min
5/11/2026, 2:07:34 AM4 trades$8630 min
3/9/2026, 2:56:01 AM1 trades$7890 min
2/1/2026, 8:55:42 PM1 trades$7640 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-26
02-22
03-09
04-08
04-16
05-12
06-12
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 33 days (recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
41.3% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.61/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L4.8 / M21.9 / H73.3