mistoquente

@mistoquente

#54,35150

0x5fa8113eb2047b9efae3f73a23361f67b14339c2

~57d· 416 markets · 2535 tradesVol: $185,4352026-08-04 18:59:30
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

10% (40/416)0/20
1.27x (win $1,966 / loss $1,546)5.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 2.10315/15
Sortino 5.87410/10
$+0.1256 per $1 invested6.3/10
HHI 275 (416 markets)10/10
16/56 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 57% of peak ($309 / $544)2.6/10

Badges

4
Profitable
PnL $+1,897
Lottery Player
90% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
75% maker orders

Categories

1
🌤️ WEATHER#978$1,897Vol: $185,435

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$1,897
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$185,435
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
416
total markets
Trades
1886B / 649S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~57d

Periods

#2
Today
$-59
Vol: $1,842
Week
$-12
Vol: $6,664
Month
$-77
Vol: $9,238
All Time
$1,897
Vol: $185,435

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
10%
40W / 376L events
Realized PnL
$1,897
Win Rate
10%
40W / 376L
Profit Factor
1.27x
Avg Win
$49
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $704 (0.37091018349155813% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 62-63°F on May 5?$356
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 20?$234
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 17?$114
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 20?$98
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 70-71°F on May 9?$93
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 58-59°F on May 16?$90
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on April 26?$88
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?$85
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on April 24?$76
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on May 12?$60

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 9°C or below on May 6?$-57
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on July 25?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on June 20?$-44
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on June 20?$-36
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on April 27?$-29
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 52-53°F on April 26?$-27
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on April 27?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be 59°F or below on June 25?$-22
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 11?$-20
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on May 5?$-20

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.109
Sortino
0.378
HHI
236
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.126
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.2%
Top-5 markets
27.3%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
25.6
Active
Markets / Day
4.2
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
18:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
40.3m
between trades
Night Trading
17%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.68
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
8.4

Bot Detection

#6
40
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 227s — normal for humanCV 5.68 — diverse sizes (human-like)17% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock26 trades/day — high frequency4.2 markets/day — normal75% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 18:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
6.09
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)89.8%
Mid (20-55c)5.4%
High (>55c)4.9%

Sessions

#12
6/25/2026, 1:09:04 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/25/2026, 5:39:17 PM3 trades$1,0000 min
6/21/2026, 4:53:38 PM9 trades$9794 min
6/23/2026, 11:59:58 PM5 trades$6650 min
6/8/2026, 3:03:40 PM12 trades$5015 min
6/9/2026, 2:34:40 AM16 trades$35910 min
6/17/2026, 11:04:31 AM3 trades$3010 min
6/8/2026, 5:37:46 PM2 trades$3000 min
6/20/2026, 2:45:37 AM3 trades$2880 min
5/6/2026, 1:56:00 AM2 trades$2710 min
6/21/2026, 10:10:53 PM16 trades$26213 min
6/17/2026, 4:10:11 PM10 trades$2616 min
5/9/2026, 5:40:54 PM21 trades$2392 min
6/16/2026, 7:32:49 PM6 trades$2086 min
5/13/2026, 3:13:02 PM13 trades$1940 min
6/7/2026, 4:41:18 PM8 trades$1779 min
4/24/2026, 7:01:24 PM11 trades$1738 min
6/17/2026, 6:57:11 PM7 trades$1690 min
6/17/2026, 6:41:17 PM6 trades$1676 min
4/30/2026, 8:00:28 PM4 trades$1660 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-24
05-03
05-12
06-07
06-16
06-27
07-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 29 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
WEATHER
100% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
25.6% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 6.09/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L89.8 / M5.4 / H4.9