@mjessup

#2,951,67015

0x930cf062c87c60f699cbed180af3f5b1555bf632

~92d· 283 markets · 515 tradesVol: $40,0532026-08-04 17:20:06
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

32% (91/281)1.2/20
0.72x (win $2,412 / loss $3,341)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.2470/15
Sortino -3.9850/10
$-0.1393 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 160 (281 markets)10/10
34/77 profitable days (44%)3.5/10
Max DD 7314% of peak ($1,140 / $16)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
33% entries < $0.20

Categories

8
⚽ SPORTS#1,773,744$-329Vol: $12,506
📢 MENTIONS#170,683$-268Vol: $9,226
🏛️ POLITICS#60,718$111Vol: $5,262
📈 ECONOMICS#669,258$-209Vol: $4,525
🎭 CULTURE#782,651$-104Vol: $3,436
₿ CRYPTO#1,527,016$-182Vol: $2,855
💰 FINANCE#625,823$-71Vol: $796
💻 TECH#250,552$-121Vol: $419

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,242
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$40,053
Total Redeem
$104
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
283
total markets
Trades
363B / 152S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~92d

Periods

#2
Today
$-3
Vol: $0
Week
$-12
Vol: $0
Month
$-10
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,242
Vol: $40,053

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
32%
91W / 190L events
Realized PnL
$-1,242
Win Rate
32%
91W / 190L
Profit Factor
0.72x
Avg Win
$27
Avg Loss
$-18

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $496 (0.39914836757035227% of PnL)

Top Winners

Thunder vs. Pacers$194
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$152
Will Trump say "Get out and vote" during Pennsylvania town hall on October 20?$150
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?$119
Will Indiana win the 2025 Big Ten Championship Game?$117
Will Donald Trump say "MAGA" 3+ times during Pennsylvania rally?$83
Pacers vs. Thunder$80
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?$77
Pacers vs. Knicks$71
Cavaliers vs. Pacers$56

Top Losers

Pacers vs. Thunder$-200
Will Trump say "too big to rig" 2 or more times during New York rally on October 27?$-149
Mary Kate Cornett dropped by sorority by Friday?$-128
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2024 meeting?$-120
Will Apple invest in OpenAI in 2024?$-104
Knicks vs. Pacers$-100
Will World Liberty Financial be accused of insider trading?$-91
Pistons vs. Pacers$-84
Texans vs. Colts$-84
Thunder vs. Pacers$-69

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.169
Sortino
-0.227
HHI
113
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.141
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3.6%
Top-5 markets
15%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.7
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.4
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.9m
between trades
Night Trading
30%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.46
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.3

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 98s — normal for humanCV 1.46 — diverse sizes (human-like)30% night trades — never sleeps21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.4 markets/day — normal19% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.82
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)33.3%
Mid (20-55c)43.5%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
11/6/2024, 2:38:35 AM6 trades$4398 min
10/21/2024, 12:09:12 AM2 trades$2851 min
11/5/2024, 8:30:11 PM4 trades$2697 min
10/1/2024, 8:48:31 PM12 trades$2319 min
8/30/2024, 9:39:27 PM3 trades$2174 min
6/23/2026, 2:06:13 AM2 trades$2170 min
6/22/2025, 11:58:17 PM1 trades$2000 min
5/13/2025, 9:25:16 PM3 trades$1943 min
7/3/2026, 12:02:59 AM4 trades$1930 min
6/28/2024, 5:56:25 PM3 trades$1922 min
6/28/2024, 1:58:05 AM5 trades$1866 min
10/24/2024, 5:24:59 PM10 trades$18310 min
9/4/2024, 6:54:01 PM11 trades$1808 min
8/30/2024, 7:10:11 PM10 trades$1808 min
7/10/2026, 9:00:20 PM8 trades$1731 min
10/20/2024, 8:06:10 PM6 trades$1604 min
11/6/2024, 2:03:57 PM10 trades$14814 min
10/27/2024, 4:56:08 PM3 trades$1302 min
6/23/2026, 12:45:17 AM8 trades$1284 min
2/27/2025, 2:57:03 AM1 trades$1280 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-19
09-11
11-12
05-12
06-22
01-20
07-05

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 495 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
29.5% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.82/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L33.3 / M43.5 / H23.1