@mmcrtyt

#2,123,4684

0xfa02229f8af0037c2d7c4e5f2278af2b75cd68fc

~16d· 46 markets · 131 tradesVol: $11,3592026-08-04 18:10:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

4
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

8% (2/24)0/20
0.62x (win $18 / loss $29)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -2.9240/15
Sortino -4.2380/10
$-0.0015 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1645 (24 markets)4.3/10
1/9 profitable days (11%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($29 / $0)0/10

Categories

6
📈 ECONOMICS#510,646$-2Vol: $3,428
🏛️ POLITICS#962,314$-2Vol: $3,300
🎭 CULTURE#638,988$-5Vol: $2,456
⚽ SPORTS#875,581$-1Vol: $1,088
₿ CRYPTO#1,205,999$-14Vol: $812
💰 FINANCE#388,054$-0Vol: $275

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-23
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$11,359
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
46
total markets
Trades
65B / 66S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $500
Month
$-1
Vol: $500
All Time
$-23
Vol: $11,359

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
8%
2W / 22L events
Realized PnL
$-23
Win Rate
8%
2W / 22L
Profit Factor
0.62x
Avg Win
$9
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $18 (0.7929978118161926% of PnL)

Top Winners

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by July 31? $18
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from January 8 to January 10, 2026?$0

Top Losers

Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June?$-14
Will Ethereum reach $5200 in October?$-8
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?$-4
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$-1
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?$-1
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-0
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?$-0
Will Solana dip to $10 in March?$-0
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$-0
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.144
Sortino
-0.248
HHI
636
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.002
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
15.2%
Top-5 markets
51.1%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.4
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
8:00 UTC
Median Gap
34s
between trades
Avg Gap
13.9m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.45
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
32
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 34s — normal for humanCV 1.45 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 8:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.38
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)1.5%
Mid (20-55c)4.6%
High (>55c)93.8%

Sessions

#12
7/2/2026, 2:59:58 AM9 trades$2,1212 min
3/4/2026, 5:19:35 AM7 trades$1,8315 min
3/4/2026, 5:43:13 AM5 trades$1,2621 min
2/20/2026, 9:18:50 AM4 trades$1,1662 min
7/2/2026, 2:37:43 AM6 trades$9111 min
7/2/2026, 3:57:13 AM7 trades$9031 min
2/20/2026, 8:49:28 AM3 trades$7141 min
2/20/2026, 9:35:04 AM3 trades$7131 min
3/4/2026, 6:01:11 AM3 trades$6302 min
1/9/2026, 8:21:54 AM6 trades$2736 min
8/3/2026, 12:39:03 PM14 trades$2567 min
1/14/2026, 2:19:20 PM5 trades$1752 min
8/3/2026, 1:16:47 PM8 trades$1311 min
8/3/2026, 11:53:09 AM6 trades$982 min
1/9/2026, 8:00:30 AM4 trades$971 min
1/14/2026, 2:27:40 PM2 trades$880 min
1/14/2026, 2:11:54 PM3 trades$871 min
5/28/2026, 8:40:32 AM6 trades$591 min
5/28/2026, 9:05:06 AM6 trades$590 min
6/11/2026, 5:17:15 PM2 trades$220 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-12
12-14
01-09
01-14
02-20
03-04
03-06
06-22
07-02

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50.4% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.38/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L1.5 / M4.6 / H93.8