@mmmm12345

#2,914,16012

0xfa7616dceedbfce44529d6f5de4e45968cdf897e

~135d· 180 markets · 3704 tradesVol: $958,9622026-08-04 19:43:03
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

12
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (45/180)0/20
0.93x (win $14,239 / loss $15,310)1.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.4360/15
Sortino -0.5940/10
$-0.0119 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 698 (180 markets)9/10
28/82 profitable days (34%)1/10
Max DD 121% of peak ($6,197 / $5,126)0/10

Badges

3
Lottery Player
72% entries < $0.20
Whale
$90,218 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

5
🎭 CULTURE#812,817$-1,544Vol: $467,802
CRYPTO#9,573$5,004Vol: $379,338
📈 ECONOMICS#681,219$-2,390Vol: $63,959
🏛️ POLITICS#1,624,091$-1,815Vol: $43,398
📢 MENTIONS#167,619$-158Vol: $4,465

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-902
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$958,962
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
180
total markets
Trades
1973B / 1731S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~135d

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
45W / 135L events
Realized PnL
$-902
Win Rate
25%
45W / 135L
Profit Factor
0.93x
Avg Win
$316
Avg Loss
$-122

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $5,159 (5.717467916749784% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?$2,561
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?$1,548
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84000 and $82000 on April 4?$1,050
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$931
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with China before July?$755
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $83000 and $85000 on Mar 21?$677
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$617
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?$544
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?$506
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?$492

Top Losers

Will Bitcoin reach $125,000 by December 31, 2025?$-2,036
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-1,327
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with France before July?$-1,253
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Germany before July?$-1,086
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?$-800
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?$-709
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Apr 11?$-600
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $101000 and $103000 on May 9?$-456
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?$-419
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90000 and $92000 on May 2?$-387

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.023
Sortino
-0.028
HHI
680
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.012
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.9%
Top-5 markets
49.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
14:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.1m
between trades
Avg Gap
59.1m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
3.57
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.6

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 128s — normal for humanCV 3.57 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal49% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 14:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
20.58
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)71.9%
Mid (20-55c)13.6%
High (>55c)14.4%

Sessions

#12
2/28/2025, 3:31:55 PM3 trades$6,4255 min
5/1/2025, 11:15:11 AM2 trades$3,4031 min
2/28/2025, 11:16:10 PM4 trades$3,2054 min
4/27/2025, 12:31:16 PM1 trades$3,1490 min
3/29/2025, 5:49:43 AM5 trades$3,02310 min
2/28/2025, 3:54:57 PM2 trades$2,9660 min
5/9/2025, 2:41:35 PM2 trades$2,8692 min
4/4/2025, 10:05:33 PM5 trades$2,6298 min
3/4/2025, 10:55:43 PM7 trades$2,55912 min
3/28/2025, 4:17:40 PM1 trades$2,4660 min
8/20/2025, 9:15:06 AM4 trades$2,1633 min
4/15/2025, 11:34:47 PM1 trades$2,1460 min
4/15/2025, 11:00:29 PM3 trades$2,1093 min
4/21/2025, 11:06:36 AM2 trades$2,1033 min
4/12/2025, 1:58:49 PM2 trades$1,9971 min
4/9/2025, 12:56:17 PM1 trades$1,9330 min
2/6/2025, 2:18:25 PM3 trades$1,9215 min
4/4/2025, 1:55:47 PM63 trades$1,87525 min
5/12/2025, 11:46:14 AM7 trades$1,7888 min
5/17/2025, 1:37:55 PM1 trades$1,7000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-25
03-08
04-11
05-17
06-09
06-26
07-19

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 435 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
46.7% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 20.58/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L71.9 / M13.6 / H14.4