@mmmmaker2

#2,991,12022

0xf48a5f99bad864cbf0b83468bbfe4b5f53ede256

~16d· 30 markets · 260 tradesVol: $111,3852026-08-04 18:59:20
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

22
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

53% (8/15)11.7/20
0.47x (win $1,028 / loss $2,179)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -5.5080/15
Sortino -5.7590/10
$-0.0482 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1086 (15 markets)7.1/10
4/9 profitable days (44%)3.6/10
Max DD 608% of peak ($1,575 / $259)0/10

Badges

4
DCA Master
Avg 8.2 entries/market
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
22/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
80% maker orders

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,070$-806Vol: $55,998
💻 TECH#253,708$-236Vol: $19,042
📈 ECONOMICS#657,203$-89Vol: $11,710
💰 FINANCE#635,475$-117Vol: $9,183
🎭 CULTURE#809,812$-874Vol: $8,652
📢 MENTIONS#3,653$237Vol: $5,468
🌤️ WEATHER#269,011$-31Vol: $1,334

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,915
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$111,385
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
30
total markets
Trades
207B / 53S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d

Periods

#2
Today
$-76
Vol: $6,536
Week
$-143
Vol: $16,294
Month
$-809
Vol: $28,821
All Time
$-1,915
Vol: $111,385

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
53%
8W / 7L events
Realized PnL
$-1,915
Win Rate
53%
8W / 7L
Profit Factor
0.47x
Avg Win
$129
Avg Loss
$-311

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $852 (0.4450216133815023% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$366
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?$336
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$150
GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?$67
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 14, 2026?$60
GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?$42
Will Melody Morris be evicted in Big Brother season 28 (Week 1)?$3
Will Alex Kelloff be the Democratic nominee for CO-03?$3

Top Losers

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$-780
Will Shabana Mahmood be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?$-432
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?$-347
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 9, 2026?$-281
Will "Young Washington" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 20m?$-162
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?$-109
Will MrBeast's next video get between 50 and 60 million views on week 1?$-68

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.272
Sortino
-0.300
HHI
129
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.138
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
5.8%
Top-5 markets
21.7%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
6.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
22/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
1:00 UTC
Median Gap
7.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.6h
between trades
Night Trading
37%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.88
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.3

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 441s — normal for humanCV 1.88 — diverse sizes (human-like)37% night trades — never sleeps22/24 hours — around the clock7 trades/day — normal0.8 markets/day — normal80% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 1:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
8.2
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)2.9%
Mid (20-55c)14.5%
High (>55c)82.6%

Sessions

#12
7/29/2026, 6:55:59 PM6 trades$3,1203 min
7/29/2026, 1:51:51 AM5 trades$1,1882 min
8/2/2026, 6:45:08 AM1 trades$1,0880 min
6/26/2026, 6:06:47 AM7 trades$1,0235 min
8/1/2026, 12:17:35 AM1 trades$9790 min
7/31/2026, 1:53:47 PM2 trades$9483 min
7/13/2026, 4:57:23 PM6 trades$8760 min
7/13/2026, 10:43:40 AM6 trades$8730 min
8/2/2026, 9:42:26 PM2 trades$8303 min
7/13/2026, 5:04:47 PM12 trades$8283 min
8/2/2026, 9:32:33 PM1 trades$8230 min
7/14/2026, 9:35:22 PM2 trades$7142 min
8/1/2026, 11:51:54 PM4 trades$7132 min
7/5/2026, 12:38:25 AM3 trades$5990 min
8/1/2026, 6:32:53 AM7 trades$5587 min
7/31/2026, 1:19:35 AM1 trades$5020 min
7/13/2026, 4:47:10 PM2 trades$4855 min
7/13/2026, 10:29:08 AM4 trades$4534 min
7/12/2026, 12:27:08 AM3 trades$4190 min
8/2/2026, 5:23:08 PM1 trades$4080 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
06-26
06-27
06-29
07-05
07-12
07-13
07-14
07-15
07-16

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 15 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
20.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 8.2/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L2.9 / M14.5 / H82.6