@molm

#1,439,2940

0xfa484f6184704371d88a45130e412dacc8f35c6c

~11d· 8 markets · 20 tradesVol: $7,4122026-08-05 04:17:50
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

25% (2/8)0/20
0.26x (win $1 / loss $4)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.5420/15
Sortino -9.3750/10
$-0.1785 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 4134 (8 markets)0/10
2/7 profitable days (29%)0/10
Max DD 0% of peak ($3 / $0)0/10

Badges

1
Lottery Player
77% entries < $0.20

Categories

3
📈 ECONOMICS#456,187$-1Vol: $5,800
🏛️ POLITICS#795,693$-1Vol: $1,090
₿ CRYPTO#873,073$-1Vol: $522

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-2
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$7,412
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
8
total markets
Trades
13B / 7S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-2
Vol: $7,412

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
25%
2W / 6L events
Realized PnL
$-2
Win Rate
25%
2W / 6L
Profit Factor
0.26x
Avg Win
$1
Avg Loss
$-1

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1 (0.4353448275862069% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump nominate Howard Lutnick as the next Fed chair?$1
Will Harka Sampang be the next Prime Minister of Nepal?$0

Top Losers

Will Trump nominate James B. Bullard as the next Fed chair?$-2
Will Ethereum hit $17,000 by December 31?$-1
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?$-1
Will Jon Hansen win the 2026 South Dakota Governor Republican primary election?$-0
Will Solana dip to $40 in April?$-0

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.462
Sortino
-0.600
HHI
4154
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.178
Kelly %
4.5%
Half-Kelly
2.3%
Top-1 market
62.3%
Top-5 markets
92.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.0
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
19:00 UTC
Median Gap
20s
between trades
Avg Gap
9.1h
between trades
Night Trading
15%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.36
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
12
Avg Duration
0 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.7

Bot Detection

#6
0
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 20s — normal for humanCV 1.36 — diverse sizes (human-like)15% night trades — normal pattern9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.0 markets/day — normal40% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 19:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.5
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)76.9%
Mid (20-55c)0%
High (>55c)23.1%

Sessions

#12
4/27/2026, 7:31:48 PM5 trades$150 min
1/1/2026, 5:29:17 PM1 trades$20 min
1/6/2026, 6:56:47 AM1 trades$20 min
12/15/2025, 12:30:03 AM1 trades$10 min
12/17/2025, 11:25:05 PM1 trades$10 min
12/28/2025, 5:47:17 AM1 trades$10 min
1/6/2026, 7:23:21 PM1 trades$10 min
2/11/2026, 10:17:39 AM2 trades$10 min
7/5/2026, 8:53:13 PM4 trades$00 min
7/15/2026, 5:04:10 AM1 trades$00 min
3/9/2026, 11:11:25 AM1 trades$00 min
3/8/2026, 11:25:07 AM1 trades$00 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-15
01-01
01-06
02-11
03-09
04-27
07-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
35% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.5/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L76.9 / M0 / H23.1