@moneyballmoves

#2,146,88233

0x0a6f289506b1a3c403435c67de5803693fb7a8db

~29d· 52 markets · 70 tradesVol: $5182026-08-04 22:48:07
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

61% (31/51)15.4/20
0.92x (win $67 / loss $73)1.5/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.6040/15
Sortino -1.0130/10
$-0.0227 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 463 (51 markets)10/10
14/26 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 126% of peak ($27 / $22)0/10

Badges

2
Sniper
Win rate 61%
Win Streak
5 wins in a row

Categories

6
⚽ SPORTS#758,517$-0Vol: $277
🎭 CULTURE#690,896$-10Vol: $112
🏛️ POLITICS#1,156,182$-5Vol: $75
💰 FINANCE#536,716$-4Vol: $24
₿ CRYPTO#1,064,853$-6Vol: $20
📈 ECONOMICS#110,696$1Vol: $5

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-25
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$518
Total Redeem
$4
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
52
total markets
Trades
58B / 12S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~29d

Periods

#2
Today
$-0
Vol: $0
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-25
Vol: $518

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
61%
31W / 20L events
Realized PnL
$-25
Win Rate
61%
31W / 20L
Profit Factor
0.92x
Avg Win
$2
Avg Loss
$-4

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $35 (1.40137987012987% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?$27
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$4
Liverpool wins the Premier League?$4
Will Aston Villa win on 2025-03-08?$4
Will the Gatorade shower at Super Bowl LX be green/yellow?$3
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$3
Seahawks vs. Patriots$2
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in 2024?$2
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?$2
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?$2

Top Losers

Mexico vs. Korea Republic: O/U 1.5$-10
Uruguay vs. Spain: O/U 1.5$-10
US national Bitcoin reserve in 2025?$-7
Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?$-6
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$-6
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?$-5
Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 130m and 135m?$-5
Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 3.5$-4
Panthers vs. Maple Leafs$-4
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$-3

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.031
Sortino
-0.058
HHI
556
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.021
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.3%
Top-5 markets
37.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
19/24
Extended
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
3.2m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
19%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.90
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
40
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
1.8

Bot Detection

#6
10
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 192s — normal for humanCV 0.90 — diverse sizes (human-like)19% night trades — unusual hours19/24 hours — extended activity0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal23% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.49
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)13.8%
Mid (20-55c)17.2%
High (>55c)69%

Sessions

#12
3/27/2026, 10:46:09 PM1 trades$260 min
5/15/2025, 9:09:00 PM4 trades$233 min
7/19/2026, 2:22:34 AM2 trades$230 min
6/16/2026, 10:53:07 PM4 trades$191 min
5/15/2025, 9:54:20 PM6 trades$117 min
2/21/2026, 2:55:28 PM3 trades$114 min
5/23/2025, 5:04:41 AM1 trades$100 min
2/9/2026, 4:24:11 AM1 trades$90 min
6/1/2025, 11:23:55 PM1 trades$90 min
11/4/2025, 11:49:27 PM1 trades$90 min
3/1/2026, 5:20:21 PM3 trades$95 min
3/8/2025, 11:49:15 AM2 trades$91 min
12/7/2025, 4:18:01 AM1 trades$80 min
6/18/2026, 1:10:26 PM2 trades$70 min
6/26/2026, 4:02:46 PM2 trades$70 min
11/16/2024, 8:06:33 AM2 trades$71 min
11/23/2024, 11:37:03 AM3 trades$71 min
4/1/2026, 3:07:59 PM2 trades$70 min
11/21/2024, 10:29:37 PM1 trades$60 min
2/8/2026, 5:02:07 PM2 trades$63 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-16
03-08
06-01
02-09
03-16
05-01
06-26

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 32 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
17.1% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.49/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L13.8 / M17.2 / H69