@moonpupapollo

#2,871,02721

0x8e9f0288d09dba6332822a56be6af0135ac98876

~11d· 19 markets · 44 tradesVol: $9,0552026-08-05 17:33:57
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

21
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

56% (5/9)12.8/20
0.35x (win $251 / loss $709)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -9.3540/15
Sortino -8.8350/10
$-0.2571 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1482 (9 markets)5.1/10
3/7 profitable days (43%)3.2/10
Max DD 849% of peak ($625 / $74)0/10

Categories

4
🎭 CULTURE#808,627$-552Vol: $6,773
🏛️ POLITICS#1,390,498$-23Vol: $1,466
SPORTS#1,390,837$-13Vol: $486
💰 FINANCE#99,027$2Vol: $330

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-585
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$9,055
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
19
total markets
Trades
22B / 22S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~11d

Periods

#2
Today
$3
Vol: $0
Week
$6
Vol: $0
Month
$3
Vol: $0
All Time
$-585
Vol: $9,055

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
56%
5W / 4L events
Realized PnL
$-585
Win Rate
56%
5W / 4L
Profit Factor
0.35x
Avg Win
$50
Avg Loss
$-177

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $201 (0.34387770805191253% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France win the World Cup?$94
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from February 19 to February 21, 2026?$74
Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?$33
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?$27
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$23

Top Losers

Will Andrew Tate post 0-99 posts from March 3 to March 10, 2026?$-309
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?$-200
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1?$-100
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 9 to March 11, 2026?$-100

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.453
Sortino
-0.608
HHI
688
Moderate
EV per $1
$-0.363
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
17.4%
Top-5 markets
48.2%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
0.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.1
Active Hours
9/24
Normal
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.4m
between trades
Avg Gap
4.2h
between trades
Night Trading
43%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
0.56
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
14
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.1

Bot Detection

#6
15
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
LOW
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
MEDIUM
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 84s — normal for humanCV 0.56 — diverse sizes (human-like)43% night trades — never sleeps9/24 hours — normal schedule0 trades/day — normal0.1 markets/day — normal27% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
1.44
Single entry

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)22.7%
Mid (20-55c)27.3%
High (>55c)50%

Sessions

#12
7/3/2026, 5:54:46 PM13 trades$1,3558 min
2/21/2026, 6:06:12 PM1 trades$2240 min
3/9/2026, 4:53:07 PM1 trades$2090 min
3/4/2026, 7:03:19 AM2 trades$2001 min
3/14/2026, 1:45:09 AM2 trades$2004 min
2/21/2026, 2:45:40 AM1 trades$1500 min
7/15/2026, 5:24:41 AM10 trades$1461 min
7/15/2026, 5:16:32 AM4 trades$1371 min
7/6/2026, 6:48:14 AM4 trades$1230 min
3/4/2026, 7:07:25 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/5/2026, 5:15:13 PM1 trades$1000 min
3/10/2026, 2:13:09 AM1 trades$1000 min
3/11/2026, 5:01:07 AM1 trades$1000 min
7/9/2026, 6:26:53 PM2 trades$600 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-21
03-04
03-09
03-10
03-11
03-14
07-03

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 21 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
50% sell
DCA Style
SINGLE
avg 1.44/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L22.7 / M27.3 / H50