@moonshotbet

#2,966,68323

0x1ff2ba6b1e94ee7e691af00d3ed834e78ba71c10

~140d· 794 markets · 2033 tradesVol: $57,7772026-08-05 02:24:16
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

23
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

43% (339/792)6.4/20
0.85x (win $5,518 / loss $6,505)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -1.2620/15
Sortino -1.5430/10
$-0.0708 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 88 (792 markets)10/10
70/131 profitable days (53%)5.9/10
Max DD 1889% of peak ($1,470 / $78)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
6 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,841,882$-1,315Vol: $47,138
🎭 CULTURE#746,330$-33Vol: $4,013
🏛️ POLITICS#1,480,602$-60Vol: $3,256
CRYPTO#1,155,356$-10Vol: $1,920
📢 MENTIONS#155,962$-49Vol: $860
🌤️ WEATHER#16,108$21Vol: $271
💻 TECH#200,115$-2Vol: $80
💰 FINANCE#462,589$-1Vol: $11

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,456
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$57,777
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
794
total markets
Trades
1285B / 748S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~140d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,456
Vol: $57,777

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
43%
339W / 453L events
Realized PnL
$-1,456
Win Rate
43%
339W / 453L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$16
Avg Loss
$-15

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $927 (0.6364335443472529% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$430
Japan vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5$280
Will Rodri win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$216
Manchester United FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 1.5$96
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5$82
Norway vs. France: 1st Half O/U 1.5$76
Tunisia vs. Japan: Japan O/U 1.5$76
KRC Genk vs. GNK Dinamo Zagreb: O/U 1.5$74
Casa Pia AC vs. Moreirense FC: O/U 1.5$68
Will Manchester United vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?$63

Top Losers

Egypt vs. IR Iran: O/U 2.5$-594
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$-276
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 4.5$-139
Egypt vs. IR Iran: 1st Half O/U 2.5$-110
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5$-107
Will Manchester City win on 2025-05-10?$-103
Australia vs. Türkiye: O/U 2.5$-100
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)$-96
Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5$-87
SS Lazio vs. AC Milan: O/U 1.5$-85

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.066
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
110
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.067
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
6.3%
Top-5 markets
17.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
3.5
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.4
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
8.6m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.5h
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.40
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.4

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 518s — normal for humanCV 2.39 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock3 trades/day — normal1.4 markets/day — normal43% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.63
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)15.1%
Mid (20-55c)56.9%
High (>55c)28%

Sessions

#12
7/19/2026, 10:34:07 PM16 trades$1,5555 min
6/26/2026, 12:30:31 AM2 trades$1,0570 min
6/27/2026, 4:16:26 AM2 trades$4500 min
7/19/2026, 9:30:16 PM1 trades$4370 min
6/25/2026, 11:38:07 PM5 trades$2491 min
3/3/2026, 10:10:25 PM2 trades$2300 min
7/19/2026, 1:18:28 PM2 trades$2280 min
2/26/2026, 8:25:46 PM3 trades$2194 min
6/9/2026, 3:03:12 PM3 trades$2100 min
6/9/2026, 6:30:45 PM2 trades$1980 min
6/9/2026, 4:57:31 PM2 trades$1980 min
3/15/2026, 3:27:33 PM1 trades$1970 min
6/13/2026, 1:13:21 AM9 trades$1786 min
2/26/2026, 9:11:46 PM4 trades$17510 min
2/15/2026, 8:24:21 PM5 trades$1682 min
5/30/2026, 5:58:55 PM2 trades$1500 min
2/15/2026, 6:02:09 PM2 trades$1481 min
1/18/2026, 9:18:12 PM2 trades$1482 min
3/15/2026, 8:51:29 PM6 trades$1476 min
6/21/2026, 11:33:28 PM1 trades$1390 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
12-21
02-01
03-16
02-17
03-17
06-26
07-23

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 520 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.8% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.63/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L15.1 / M56.9 / H28