@moslove

#36,82315

0xd782ab869560865e16c71e2c249005811273c56c

~31d· 167 markets · 312 tradesVol: $84,749 @finisher20012026-08-05 04:07:42
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

15
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

55% (89/163)12.3/20
0.29x (win $2,231 / loss $7,811)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -3.4560/15
Sortino -3.5590/10
$-0.3122 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 3408 (163 markets)0/10
11/28 profitable days (39%)2.3/10
Max DD 5408% of peak ($5,685 / $105)0/10

Badges

2
Profitable
PnL $+3,122
Win Streak
9 wins in a row

Categories

4
SPORTS#14,056$3,149Vol: $84,425
🎭 CULTURE#743,062$-30Vol: $223
CRYPTO#255,150$8Vol: $71
🏛️ POLITICS#1,144,514$-5Vol: $30

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$3,122
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$84,749
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
167
total markets
Trades
198B / 114S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Month
$-0
Vol: $673
All Time
$3,122
Vol: $84,749

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
55%
89W / 74L events
Realized PnL
$3,122
Win Rate
55%
89W / 74L
Profit Factor
0.29x
Avg Win
$25
Avg Loss
$-106

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,775 (0.5684676546152319% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will France reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1,009
Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$737
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?$29
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-25?$23
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-01-24?$16
Will Angers SCO win on 2026-02-08?$16
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-31?$14
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-28?$14
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-01-29?$13
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-02-07?$13

Top Losers

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-5,313
Will Germany reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-1,953
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?$-40
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?$-20
Will FC Arouca vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?$-10
Will Girona FC win on 2026-01-31?$-10
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-25?$-10
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2025-11-27?$-10
Will PAOK win on 2026-01-29?$-10
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?$-10

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.178
Sortino
-0.149
HHI
7827
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.195
Kelly %
24.3%
Half-Kelly
12.1%
Top-1 market
65.4%
Top-5 markets
152.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
1.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.7
Active Hours
21/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
23:00 UTC
Median Gap
1.3m
between trades
Avg Gap
53.4m
between trades
Night Trading
8%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
4.67
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.9

Bot Detection

#6
5
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 76s — normal for humanCV 4.67 — diverse sizes (human-like)8% night trades — normal pattern21/24 hours — extended activity1 trades/day — normal0.7 markets/day — normal13% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 23:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.1
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)37.4%
High (>55c)56.1%

Sessions

#12
7/5/2026, 11:31:53 PM18 trades$8,9190 min
6/16/2026, 8:25:18 AM14 trades$8,1010 min
7/4/2026, 12:01:11 AM3 trades$5,9640 min
7/1/2026, 11:47:11 PM5 trades$3,2160 min
6/16/2026, 7:48:36 AM11 trades$2,8628 min
6/28/2026, 9:01:31 PM4 trades$1,3270 min
6/16/2026, 11:14:04 AM1 trades$6560 min
6/16/2026, 8:09:28 AM3 trades$3725 min
8/1/2026, 9:32:45 PM6 trades$1501 min
2/4/2026, 9:36:17 PM4 trades$1345 min
2/7/2026, 5:17:49 PM9 trades$1224 min
8/1/2026, 7:52:51 PM2 trades$1190 min
2/8/2026, 11:54:19 AM23 trades$11632 min
2/7/2026, 4:38:25 AM15 trades$11029 min
6/16/2026, 7:29:03 AM2 trades$1000 min
6/16/2026, 9:30:49 AM3 trades$814 min
1/28/2026, 11:26:12 PM4 trades$781 min
1/31/2026, 10:50:40 AM7 trades$707 min
1/31/2026, 10:25:46 PM4 trades$571 min
1/28/2026, 5:28:48 PM6 trades$555 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
11-27
01-14
01-28
02-04
02-09
02-21
06-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 161 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.1/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M37.4 / H56.1