@mountainstrake
#2,676,83000x768957cd9a748de2201d881155d3c97bf77f8317
~16d· 26 markets · 120 tradesVol: $15,2342026-08-05 02:23:24
SMART SCORE SYSTEM
Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.
Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.
0
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard
Score Components
31% (8/26)0.4/20
0.17x (win $53 / loss $312)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.7450/15
Sortino -6.4380/10
$-1.0968 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 7176 (26 markets)0/10
2/14 profitable days (14%)0/10
Max DD 769% of peak ($297 / $39)0/10
Badges
1Lottery Player
40% entries < $0.20
Categories
3🌤️ WEATHER#292,655$-265Vol: $14,025
₿ CRYPTO#83,530$118Vol: $980
⚽ SPORTS#1,483,755$-23Vol: $230
Overview
#1Net PnL
$-170
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$15,234
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
26
total markets
Trades
45B / 75S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~16d
PnL Analysis
#3Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology
Win Rate (events)
31%
8W / 18L events
Realized PnL
$-170
Win Rate
31%
8W / 18L
Profit Factor
0.17x
Avg Win
$7
Avg Loss
$-22
Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $40 (0.23272255935898192% of PnL)
Top Winners
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET$22
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET$12
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET$6
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET$4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET$2
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET$2
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 72-73°F on March 26?$1
Top Losers
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 17?$-196
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$-46
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on June 24?$-23
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 30?$-12
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on June 30?$-9
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET$-6
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 64-65°F on March 25?$-6
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on June 24?$-5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on March 24?$-5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET$-2
Risk Metrics
#4Sharpe
-0.340
Sortino
-0.293
HHI
2326
Moderate
EV per $1
$-1.000
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.4%
Top-5 markets
75.4%
Behavior Analysis
#5Trades / Day
1.2
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.3
Active Hours
12/24
Extended
Peak Hour
0:00 UTC
Median Gap
13.0m
between trades
Avg Gap
3.0h
between trades
Night Trading
67%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.81
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
35
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.4
Bot Detection
#615
HUMAN (manual trading)LOW probability
7 indicators analyzed
Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
MEDIUM
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 779s — normal for humanCV 2.81 — diverse sizes (human-like)67% night trades — never sleeps12/24 hours — normal schedule1 trades/day — normal0.3 markets/day — normal44% maker — normal mix
Timing Patterns
#7Peak hour: 0:00 UTC
0
4
8
12
16
20
DCA Analysis
#8Avg entries/market
4.69
Price Levels
#9Low (<20c)40%
Mid (20-55c)46.7%
High (>55c)13.3%
Sessions
#126/18/2026, 12:33:01 AM30 trades$2,4540 min
6/23/2026, 12:20:26 AM2 trades$580 min
6/23/2026, 10:20:17 PM2 trades$500 min
6/24/2026, 2:25:20 AM7 trades$390 min
6/29/2026, 7:46:34 PM3 trades$290 min
3/25/2026, 2:13:13 AM6 trades$283 min
6/24/2026, 2:38:19 AM3 trades$250 min
6/29/2026, 5:47:41 PM5 trades$230 min
6/16/2026, 9:41:01 PM1 trades$210 min
6/22/2026, 8:13:46 PM5 trades$190 min
6/29/2026, 11:00:26 PM4 trades$170 min
3/25/2026, 1:57:51 AM4 trades$144 min
3/25/2026, 1:45:25 AM3 trades$122 min
3/25/2026, 2:38:39 AM1 trades$100 min
3/24/2026, 12:01:17 AM2 trades$102 min
3/24/2026, 3:53:07 AM1 trades$90 min
6/17/2026, 5:28:40 PM4 trades$80 min
6/24/2026, 9:27:32 PM3 trades$80 min
3/24/2026, 11:50:19 PM7 trades$611 min
6/24/2026, 2:51:10 AM4 trades$60 min
Equity Curve
#13Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-24
03-26
06-18
06-23
06-28
06-30
07-02
Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)
Max drawdown: 13 days (not recovered)
Profile
#14Specialization
MIXED
61.5% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
62.5% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.69/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L40 / M46.7 / H13.3