mousefire96

@mousefire96

#118,35063

0x6e3f5301787fcce4c204bf6eb7dc7b1a11969ed2

~73d· 98 markets · 2600 tradesVol: $459,6922026-08-05 05:35:49
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

63
Good
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

49% (46/93)9.7/20
1.28x (win $30,038 / loss $23,461)6/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.06215/15
Sortino 2.47410/10
$+0.1083 per $1 invested5.4/10
HHI 573 (93 markets)9.6/10
18/36 profitable days (50%)5/10
Max DD 58% of peak ($8,786 / $15,242)2.5/10

Badges

5
Profitable
PnL $+479
Contrarian
72% entries < $0.55
DCA Master
Avg 34.9 entries/market
Whale
$60,747 invested
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
🏛️ POLITICS#22,301$706Vol: $271,716
💰 FINANCE#648,774$-418Vol: $131,299
📈 ECONOMICS#12,067$106Vol: $50,202
🌤️ WEATHER#5,999$137Vol: $1,331
CRYPTO#1,324,345$-30Vol: $739
🎭 CULTURE#37,309$35Vol: $241
SPORTS#1,526,502$-31Vol: $105
📢 MENTIONS#127,857$-10Vol: $58

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$479
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$459,692
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
98
total markets
Trades
1507B / 1093S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~73d

Periods

#2
Week
$-0
Vol: $0
Month
$-0
Vol: $0
All Time
$479
Vol: $459,692

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
49%
46W / 47L events
Realized PnL
$479
Win Rate
49%
46W / 47L
Profit Factor
1.28x
Avg Win
$653
Avg Loss
$-533

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $23,938 (49.971463760855045% of PnL)

Top Winners

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?$18,086
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?$4,048
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?$1,804
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?$1,357
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$965
US forces enter Iran by April 30?$598
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$580
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?$441
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?$431
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?$260

Top Losers

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$-7,037
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$-2,879
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?$-2,182
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?$-2,047
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?$-1,342
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?$-995
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?$-790
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?$-724
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$-707
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?$-636

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.055
Sortino
0.108
HHI
1302
Moderate
EV per $1
$0.075
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
18.7%
Top-5 markets
68.5%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
21.1
Active
Markets / Day
0.8
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
22:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
58.9m
between trades
Night Trading
20%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.47
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
3 min
Avg Trades / Session
12.7

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 290s — normal for humanCV 2.47 — diverse sizes (human-like)20% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock21 trades/day — high frequency0.8 markets/day — normal54% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 22:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
34.87
Heavy DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)28.2%

Sessions

#12
5/5/2026, 10:54:48 PM74 trades$7,9904 min
5/6/2026, 2:36:42 PM12 trades$7,6540 min
5/8/2026, 6:30:09 AM15 trades$3,3090 min
4/13/2026, 4:45:31 PM35 trades$3,13210 min
5/6/2026, 10:24:14 AM16 trades$3,0870 min
4/14/2026, 4:50:52 PM7 trades$2,5530 min
4/30/2026, 10:41:38 PM2 trades$2,5000 min
4/22/2026, 11:19:02 AM7 trades$2,2880 min
5/4/2026, 6:59:22 PM7 trades$2,2511 min
4/24/2026, 12:25:22 AM45 trades$2,07127 min
5/14/2026, 4:14:53 PM2 trades$1,9630 min
4/3/2026, 9:14:45 PM4 trades$1,7060 min
4/4/2026, 3:24:49 AM12 trades$1,6822 min
4/7/2026, 11:01:13 PM9 trades$1,5552 min
4/21/2026, 7:39:44 PM65 trades$1,50325 min
4/3/2026, 6:51:29 PM2 trades$1,5000 min
4/13/2026, 2:13:57 PM16 trades$1,4700 min
4/29/2026, 10:00:30 PM17 trades$1,4586 min
4/26/2026, 3:16:22 PM2 trades$1,4000 min
4/24/2026, 1:13:12 AM12 trades$1,3346 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
03-13
04-07
04-19
04-27
05-06
05-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 45 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
42% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 34.87/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.9 / M42.9 / H28.2