@mpsstrategy

#2,887,96653

0x7c232a061175d39c6a30a391e9ce306f165b91de

~48d· 175 markets · 740 tradesVol: $55,1212026-08-04 21:51:46
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

53
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

46% (56/123)7.8/20
1.20x (win $4,634 / loss $3,877)4.9/15
Annualised Sharpe 1.16915/15
Sortino 1.92510/10
$+0.0402 per $1 invested2/10
HHI 646 (123 markets)9.3/10
14/31 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 69% of peak ($1,670 / $2,409)0.1/10

Badges

2
Win Streak
5 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,765,193$-281Vol: $32,565
CRYPTO#1,546,611$-231Vol: $7,615
🏛️ POLITICS#1,498,299$-76Vol: $5,770
💰 FINANCE#615,782$-44Vol: $1,799
📈 ECONOMICS#556,320$-4Vol: $1,730
🎭 CULTURE#748,528$-35Vol: $1,140
💻 TECH#50,474$1Vol: $700
🌤️ WEATHER#181,665$-1Vol: $200

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-692
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$55,121
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
175
total markets
Trades
467B / 273S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~48d

Periods

#2
Today
$0
Vol: $0
Week
$0
Vol: $0
Month
$0
Vol: $0
All Time
$-692
Vol: $55,121

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
46%
56W / 67L events
Realized PnL
$-692
Win Rate
46%
56W / 67L
Profit Factor
1.2x
Avg Win
$83
Avg Loss
$-66

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,810 (4.060669546748349% of PnL)

Top Winners

UFC 328: Pat Sabatini vs. William Gomis (Featherweight, Early Prelims)$1,319
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?$791
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?$701
Will Rowenna Davis win the 2026 London Borough of Croydon mayoral election?$213
Will AJ Dybantsa be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?$190
Will Donald Trump announce Todd Blanche as the next United States Attorney General by June 30?$161
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$149
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?$145
Will the Green Party win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?$131
CA Boca Juniors vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5$124

Top Losers

Will New York Red Bulls win on 2026-05-23?$-1,081
Will Club Olimpia win on 2026-05-20?$-672
Will CD Tolima win on 2026-04-28?$-454
Will Cameron Boozer be the 3rd overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft?$-317
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$-192
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigers$-135
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?$-128
Will Amanda De Ryk win the 2026 London Borough of Lewisham mayoral election?$-119
Will Paloma Valencia win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$-100
Will "Mortal Kombat II" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 40m and 45m?$-98

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.060
Sortino
0.081
HHI
337
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.056
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
9.7%
Top-5 markets
34%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
10.9
Active
Markets / Day
2.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
2:00 UTC
Median Gap
19.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
1.9h
between trades
Night Trading
44%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
2.51
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
1 min
Avg Trades / Session
3.5

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
MEDIUM
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1186s — normal for humanCV 2.51 — diverse sizes (human-like)44% night trades — never sleeps24/24 hours — around the clock11 trades/day — very active2.6 markets/day — normal63% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 2:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
4.16
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)6.6%
Mid (20-55c)18.4%
High (>55c)74.9%

Sessions

#12
5/28/2026, 3:39:18 AM6 trades$1,7920 min
5/9/2026, 12:16:18 AM3 trades$1,4443 min
4/28/2026, 7:56:24 PM8 trades$1,3213 min
5/8/2026, 9:34:24 PM13 trades$1,2573 min
4/30/2026, 6:24:24 PM2 trades$1,0460 min
5/28/2026, 3:27:14 AM1 trades$9210 min
5/8/2026, 10:52:32 PM1 trades$6960 min
5/20/2026, 10:21:41 AM4 trades$6722 min
5/20/2026, 1:49:26 AM2 trades$5940 min
4/30/2026, 3:58:34 PM1 trades$5500 min
5/23/2026, 5:10:11 PM1 trades$5410 min
5/23/2026, 5:47:03 PM1 trades$5410 min
6/5/2026, 2:16:34 AM4 trades$5060 min
4/27/2026, 9:20:16 PM1 trades$4010 min
5/18/2026, 5:14:16 AM6 trades$3501 min
4/27/2026, 10:46:44 PM1 trades$3500 min
5/15/2026, 7:13:43 PM4 trades$3252 min
6/1/2026, 3:29:56 PM1 trades$3090 min
5/20/2026, 1:40:59 AM1 trades$2760 min
5/4/2026, 7:32:18 AM10 trades$2000 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
04-26
05-02
05-08
05-13
05-20
05-29
06-11

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 16 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.9% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 4.16/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L6.6 / M18.4 / H74.9