mr.Lobster

@mr.Lobster

#2,960,21933

0xca6fc21a2b7c7bc155bfcfe89646e5acd4e51c42

~118d· 468 markets · 1392 tradesVol: $119,774 @monumeena0102026-08-04 20:39:41
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

33
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

26% (122/467)0/20
1.04x (win $3,984 / loss $3,824)3/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.4428.3/15
Sortino 0.7517.5/10
$+0.0248 per $1 invested1.2/10
HHI 130 (467 markets)10/10
50/116 profitable days (43%)3.3/10
Max DD 240% of peak ($643 / $268)0/10

Badges

2
Lottery Player
63% entries < $0.20
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

8
SPORTS#1,833,805$-1,133Vol: $98,786
CRYPTO#1,532,854$-195Vol: $18,559
🏛️ POLITICS#1,406,673$-27Vol: $1,716
💰 FINANCE#54,053$11Vol: $380
🌤️ WEATHER#218,872$-3Vol: $256
📈 ECONOMICS#490,688$-1Vol: $30
🎭 CULTURE#643,408$-5Vol: $24
📢 MENTIONS#113,879$-5Vol: $23

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,359
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$119,774
Total Redeem
$29
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
468
total markets
Trades
765B / 627S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~118d

Periods

#2
Today
$-53
Vol: $500
Week
$-53
Vol: $500
Month
$-71
Vol: $946
All Time
$-1,359
Vol: $119,774

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
26%
122W / 345L events
Realized PnL
$-1,329
Win Rate
26%
122W / 345L
Profit Factor
1.04x
Avg Win
$33
Avg Loss
$-12

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $739 (0.5558733647462628% of PnL)

Top Winners

The Hundred, Women: Southern Brave vs Welsh Fire$312
Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-05-02?$233
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals$194
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14?$182
The Hundred: Sunrisers Leeds vs Manchester Super Giants$154
T20 World Cup: England vs New Zealand$111
T20 Blast: Glamorgan vs Somerset$95
Will Los Angeles FC win on 2026-05-24?$80
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Sunrisers Hyderabad$75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?$71

Top Losers

The Hundred: Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets$-108
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?$-108
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?$-84
ODI Series Australia vs India, Women: Australia vs India$-74
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Royal Challengers Bengaluru$-64
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Lucknow Super Giants$-63
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royals$-62
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?$-61
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indians$-58
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-05-24?$-53

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.023
Sortino
0.041
HHI
82
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.024
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
3%
Top-5 markets
12.9%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
4.8
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
16.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
2.2h
between trades
Night Trading
16%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.43
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.2

Bot Detection

#6
20
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 1008s — normal for humanCV 1.43 — diverse sizes (human-like)16% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock5 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal31% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
3.03
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)62.9%
Mid (20-55c)27.2%
High (>55c)9.9%

Sessions

#12
5/12/2026, 5:19:47 PM2 trades$1,0000 min
6/22/2026, 12:48:19 PM7 trades$4960 min
6/22/2026, 9:01:35 AM10 trades$4450 min
6/2/2026, 2:33:58 AM2 trades$4160 min
4/26/2026, 7:55:30 PM6 trades$3621 min
6/12/2026, 9:33:34 AM10 trades$3441 min
5/11/2026, 7:39:53 PM4 trades$3381 min
4/5/2026, 10:51:49 AM2 trades$2600 min
5/17/2026, 5:19:01 PM3 trades$2550 min
5/30/2026, 8:42:51 PM2 trades$2500 min
5/24/2026, 4:06:30 PM7 trades$2394 min
6/25/2026, 4:16:29 PM3 trades$2380 min
5/3/2026, 5:04:36 AM5 trades$2320 min
7/22/2026, 3:41:03 PM4 trades$2250 min
6/2/2026, 12:19:29 AM2 trades$2200 min
4/5/2026, 4:43:21 PM2 trades$2070 min
3/5/2026, 4:26:13 PM1 trades$2030 min
4/13/2026, 8:24:35 PM7 trades$2024 min
7/29/2026, 2:18:00 PM2 trades$2000 min
2/27/2026, 4:40:15 PM5 trades$1917 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
10-14
03-02
03-22
04-20
05-15
06-15
07-28

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 77 days (recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
45% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 3.03/mkt
Entry Bias
LOW $
L62.9 / M27.2 / H9.9