@mrcloud

#2,935,54220

0x0848a07a637169dbbe65e491b8c8599576fbffbe

~69d· 304 markets · 1562 tradesVol: $337,5612026-08-04 19:47:43
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

20
Beginner
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

41% (109/268)5.3/20
0.85x (win $2,796 / loss $3,284)0.6/15
Annualised Sharpe -0.8540/15
Sortino -1.3900/10
$-0.0271 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 421 (268 markets)10/10
27/60 profitable days (45%)3.8/10
Max DD 564% of peak ($1,379 / $244)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
75% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
9 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active

Categories

7
🏛️ POLITICS#1,609,495$-823Vol: $324,690
📢 MENTIONS#169,675$-220Vol: $11,264
🎭 CULTURE#481,112$-1Vol: $540
SPORTS#1,532,996$-32Vol: $536
🌤️ WEATHER#172,240$-0Vol: $341
📈 ECONOMICS#72,419$3Vol: $175
💰 FINANCE#442,440$-1Vol: $15

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-1,074
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$337,561
Total Redeem
$147
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
304
total markets
Trades
1122B / 440S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~69d

Periods

#2
Today
$-1
Vol: $0
Week
$-1
Vol: $0
Month
$-1
Vol: $0
All Time
$-1,074
Vol: $337,561

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
41%
109W / 159L events
Realized PnL
$-1,074
Win Rate
41%
109W / 159L
Profit Factor
0.85x
Avg Win
$26
Avg Loss
$-21

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $1,679 (1.5642867123096271% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 19, 2026?$1,019
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?$528
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 21, 2026?$132
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?$125
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?$58
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?$56
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?$56
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 29, 2026?$42
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?$41
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?$41

Top Losers

Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 21, 2026?$-341
Will Iran strike Israel on March 3?$-249
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 9, 2026?$-236
Will Russia capture Rodynske by March 31?$-235
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 23, 2026?$-187
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on March 20, 2026?$-184
Will Leavitt say "Regime" 10+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?$-106
Will Iran conduct a military action against Israel on April 9, 2026?$-92
Will Israel take military action in Gaza on March 29, 2026?$-84
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?$-71

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.044
Sortino
-0.061
HHI
353
Diversified
EV per $1
$-0.027
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
13%
Top-5 markets
33%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
8.3
Moderate
Markets / Day
1.6
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
20:00 UTC
Median Gap
2.8m
between trades
Avg Gap
39.3m
between trades
Night Trading
27%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.79
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
4 min
Avg Trades / Session
4.8

Bot Detection

#6
30
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 168s — normal for humanCV 1.79 — diverse sizes (human-like)27% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock8 trades/day — normal1.6 markets/day — normal2% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 20:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
5.56
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)28.9%
Mid (20-55c)45.9%
High (>55c)25.2%

Sessions

#12
3/8/2026, 5:11:39 AM2 trades$1,5371 min
3/20/2026, 12:58:41 AM3 trades$1,2843 min
3/9/2026, 8:18:43 PM3 trades$9492 min
3/10/2026, 3:06:41 AM19 trades$81028 min
3/20/2026, 3:34:47 PM1 trades$6840 min
3/9/2026, 5:17:17 PM1 trades$5700 min
3/7/2026, 10:10:09 PM4 trades$4883 min
3/22/2026, 7:01:49 AM2 trades$4770 min
3/20/2026, 6:09:11 AM7 trades$4605 min
3/13/2026, 8:02:47 PM6 trades$4435 min
3/8/2026, 5:25:17 PM3 trades$4103 min
3/23/2026, 5:34:17 PM10 trades$4107 min
3/9/2026, 5:27:07 PM11 trades$37514 min
3/20/2026, 3:32:13 AM15 trades$35714 min
3/22/2026, 7:53:07 AM2 trades$3461 min
3/28/2026, 10:24:26 PM3 trades$3312 min
3/25/2026, 6:54:59 PM9 trades$32412 min
3/21/2026, 9:18:47 PM6 trades$31911 min
3/29/2026, 9:55:18 PM2 trades$3101 min
3/23/2026, 6:03:51 PM5 trades$3087 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-19
01-30
02-19
03-06
03-17
03-27

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 18 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
28.2% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 5.56/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L28.9 / M45.9 / H25.2