mrmoonlight

@mrmoonlight

#3,072,57126

0x87ddd7b5033e00713a931a559441a7add7eee210

~31d· 41 markets · 430 tradesVol: $371,9792026-08-06 07:02:29
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

26
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

62% (25/40)16.2/20
0.11x (win $6,522 / loss $60,386)0/15
Annualised Sharpe -6.0150/15
Sortino -5.7490/10
$-0.3615 per $1 invested0/10
HHI 1724 (40 markets)3.9/10
14/26 profitable days (54%)6/10
Max DD 1314% of peak ($58,302 / $4,438)0/10

Badges

7
Sniper
Win rate 62%
Diamond Hands
8% sells
DCA Master
Avg 9.0 entries/market
Whale
$148,982 invested
Win Streak
7 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
23/24 hours active
🏗️Market Maker
84% maker orders

Categories

5
🏛️ POLITICS#1,627,901$-2,279Vol: $173,858
SPORTS#1,882,998$-35,583Vol: $148,047
CRYPTO#99,955$94Vol: $23,457
💰 FINANCE#5,919$601Vol: $15,410
📢 MENTIONS#533$3,107Vol: $11,205

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-34,059
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$371,979
Total Redeem
$2,356
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
41
total markets
Trades
394B / 36S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~31d

Periods

#2
Today
$-97
Vol: $129
Week
$100
Vol: $19,873
Month
$100
Vol: $19,873
All Time
$-34,059
Vol: $371,979

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
63%
25W / 15L events
Realized PnL
$-34,059
Win Rate
63%
25W / 15L
Profit Factor
0.11x
Avg Win
$261
Avg Loss
$-4,026

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $2,886 (0.08472456332637386% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" during Miami address?$1,282
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $16 million?$943
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?$660
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$660
Will James Talarico be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Texas?$604
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?$377
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?$375
Will James Talarico and Ken Paxton be the candidates for the Texas Senate Election?$295
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?$286
Will Trump say "Monroe" during the State of the Union address?$202

Top Losers

UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)$-26,964
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-20,540
Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?$-8,404
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on IPO day?$-2,203
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?$-520
Will Trump say "Palestine" or "Palestinian" during Board of Peace events on February 19?$-310
Will Trump say "Fight Fight Fight" during trophy presentation?$-250
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?$-241
Will Trump say "Messi" 3+ times during Inter Miami events on Thursday?$-216
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?$-175

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
-0.309
Sortino
-0.225
HHI
3186
Concentrated
EV per $1
$-0.309
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
42.2%
Top-5 markets
103.4%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
2.1
Moderate
Markets / Day
0.2
Active Hours
23/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
5:00 UTC
Median Gap
24s
between trades
Avg Gap
37.4m
between trades
Night Trading
31%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
5.34
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
2 min
Avg Trades / Session
5.8

Bot Detection

#6
35
LIKELY HUMAN (fast interface)LOW probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
HIGH
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
LOW
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
LOW
Median gap 24s — normal for humanCV 5.34 — diverse sizes (human-like)31% night trades — never sleeps23/24 hours — around the clock2 trades/day — normal0.2 markets/day — normal84% maker — frequent liquidity provider

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 5:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
9
Active DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)10.7%
Mid (20-55c)18%
High (>55c)71.3%

Sessions

#12
6/14/2026, 12:28:54 AM25 trades$33,37211 min
7/10/2026, 12:55:28 AM1 trades$26,9640 min
6/3/2026, 3:11:59 AM4 trades$23,4570 min
5/20/2026, 8:57:10 PM4 trades$15,0000 min
6/15/2026, 3:10:34 PM1 trades$14,3850 min
6/13/2026, 10:18:24 PM21 trades$8,3529 min
6/7/2026, 9:59:43 PM1 trades$6,0000 min
6/14/2026, 10:02:45 PM1 trades$5,6170 min
6/12/2026, 3:32:16 PM24 trades$5,40112 min
6/13/2026, 10:33:10 PM14 trades$5,2986 min
5/14/2026, 12:18:20 AM2 trades$4,3820 min
6/12/2026, 1:32:28 AM10 trades$3,5156 min
6/12/2026, 4:28:58 PM5 trades$3,4570 min
6/14/2026, 8:57:58 AM9 trades$3,2621 min
6/12/2026, 12:12:28 PM9 trades$2,5562 min
2/16/2026, 5:02:11 AM1 trades$2,1120 min
6/7/2026, 9:01:36 PM1 trades$1,8910 min
6/12/2026, 4:15:22 PM4 trades$1,8270 min
6/12/2026, 5:12:34 AM41 trades$1,3244 min
2/25/2026, 4:40:24 PM2 trades$1,2013 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
01-12
02-16
02-25
03-23
05-14
06-08
06-15

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 123 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
0% weather
Holding Style
HOLD
8.4% sell
DCA Style
HEAVY
avg 9/mkt
Entry Bias
HIGH $
L10.7 / M18 / H71.3