mryeth

@mryeth

#2,857,87850

0x28ea699eb39f3ddc0f6fc087b11e3a0ea2797367

~91d· 3523 markets · 8073 tradesVol: $165,422 @mrydefi2026-08-04 21:24:59
SMART SCORE SYSTEM

Composite trader rating.
0 to 100.

Smart Score aggregates PnL consistency, win rate, risk management, diversification, timing patterns, and trading behavior into a single 0‑100 score. Combined with bot detection that analyzes trade timing gaps, order patterns, and execution speed.

50
Average
80-100Elite
60-79Diamond
40-59Gold
0-39Standard

Score Components

47% (1659/3507)8.7/20
1.02x (win $9,667 / loss $9,444)2.8/15
Annualised Sharpe 0.71613.4/15
Sortino 1.09910/10
$+0.0091 per $1 invested0.5/10
HHI 10 (3507 markets)10/10
44/89 profitable days (49%)4.9/10
Max DD 97% of peak ($619 / $637)0/10

Badges

3
Contrarian
61% entries < $0.55
Win Streak
12 wins in a row
🦉Night Owl
24/24 hours active

Categories

9
🌤️ WEATHER#282,139$-79Vol: $99,185
₿ CRYPTO#1,549,453$-240Vol: $39,295
🎭 CULTURE#754,743$-41Vol: $15,243
🏛️ POLITICS#335,302$1Vol: $5,204
⚽ SPORTS#1,709,960$-135Vol: $3,870
📈 ECONOMICS#528,544$-2Vol: $1,143
💰 FINANCE#75,726$5Vol: $659
💻 TECH#241,123$-35Vol: $574
📢 MENTIONS#100,770$-3Vol: $6

Overview

#1
Net PnL
$-531
Polymarket official
Total Volume
$165,422
Total Redeem
$0
Portfolio
$0
Predictions
3523
total markets
Trades
5117B / 2956S
Daily Volume
$0
Account Age
~91d

Periods

#2
Today
$-41
Vol: $1,468
Week
$83
Vol: $4,463
Month
$-35
Vol: $5,825
All Time
$-531
Vol: $165,422

PnL Analysis

#3

Realized profit from closed cash flows — may differ from Polymarket UI while positions are still open. Methodology

Win Rate (events)
47%
1659W / 1847L events
Realized PnL
$-531
Win Rate
47%
1659W / 1847L
Profit Factor
1.02x
Avg Win
$6
Avg Loss
$-6

Outlier Sensitivity: Top-3 = $343 (0.6453209386349523% of PnL)

Top Winners

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$135
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET$122
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C or below on June 16?$86
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET$86
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on July 9?$75
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 7?$70
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on July 8?$63
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 30°C on July 16?$62
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on June 24?$60
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on July 12?$54

Top Losers

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 15?$-105
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on July 11?$-80
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on July 11?$-62
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on June 15?$-59
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026?$-56
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier be the Democratic Nominee for NY-13?$-54
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 15?$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET$-48
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET$-48
Will the highest temperature in London be 21°C on June 15?$-45

Risk Metrics

#4
Sharpe
0.037
Sortino
0.064
HHI
9
Diversified
EV per $1
$0.009
Kelly %
0.0%
Half-Kelly
0.0%
Top-1 market
1.6%
Top-5 markets
2.6%

Behavior Analysis

#5
Trades / Day
49.2
Active
Markets / Day
21.5
Active Hours
24/24
Around the clock
Peak Hour
16:00 UTC
Median Gap
4.7m
between trades
Avg Gap
21.8m
between trades
Night Trading
22%
22:00–06:00 UTC
Size Variance
1.15
Variable
Session Statistics
Sessions
50
Avg Duration
12 min
Avg Trades / Session
20.9

Bot Detection

#6
45
SEMI-BOT (bot + manual)MEDIUM probability

7 indicators analyzed

Trade Speed
LOW
Night Activity
LOW
Active Hours
HIGH
Trade Frequency
MEDIUM
Size Consistency
LOW
Market Coverage
HIGH
Median gap 283s — normal for humanCV 1.15 — diverse sizes (human-like)22% night trades — unusual hours24/24 hours — around the clock49 trades/day — high frequency21 markets/day — mass coverage33% maker — normal mix

Timing Patterns

#7

Peak hour: 16:00 UTC

0
4
8
12
16
20

DCA Analysis

#8
Avg entries/market
2.3
Moderate DCA

Price Levels

#9
Low (<20c)18%
Mid (20-55c)42.9%
High (>55c)39.1%

Sessions

#12
6/20/2026, 3:22:14 PM68 trades$5633 min
6/8/2026, 10:30:31 PM21 trades$31215 min
2/27/2026, 12:06:28 AM53 trades$30736 min
3/3/2026, 5:15:39 PM35 trades$2605 min
3/7/2026, 4:23:47 PM34 trades$20540 min
3/7/2026, 2:33:29 PM57 trades$20561 min
2/25/2026, 2:06:06 AM83 trades$18082 min
6/13/2026, 5:48:39 AM18 trades$1750 min
6/18/2026, 6:55:38 PM38 trades$1661 min
7/30/2026, 6:37:15 AM16 trades$1650 min
2/25/2026, 8:51:22 PM34 trades$15634 min
2/25/2026, 3:56:54 PM49 trades$15259 min
3/7/2026, 2:13:19 PM30 trades$14711 min
7/11/2026, 8:38:11 AM12 trades$1470 min
6/17/2026, 6:55:28 PM34 trades$14426 min
6/13/2026, 5:57:51 PM18 trades$1380 min
6/21/2026, 1:56:23 PM15 trades$1375 min
7/23/2026, 10:56:48 AM6 trades$1310 min
2/25/2026, 11:22:14 PM17 trades$1298 min
6/14/2026, 10:04:42 PM8 trades$1282 min

Equity Curve

#13
Cumulative PnL by market end date Profit Loss Today
02-22
03-10
03-24
06-16
06-30
07-15
07-29

Faded bars = markets ending in the future (PnL from early exits)

Max drawdown: 47 days (not recovered)

Profile

#14
Specialization
MIXED
80% weather
Holding Style
ACTIVE SELLER
36.6% sell
DCA Style
MODERATE
avg 2.3/mkt
Entry Bias
MIXED
L18 / M42.9 / H39.1